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Post by Dawnstar on Apr 11, 2020 17:15:04 GMT
I think shows will also be made for touring. I think no more than 60% of the current 500+ seaters in the west end will still be usable in 5 years time. May I ask if you think that's because we will require long-term social distancing measures that will not be compatable with the buildings? Or because of lack of demand? Or because the buildings will fall into disrepair? Or what? Working from home would increase the amount of people who never go out due to lack of friends. My likely future employment is office based but working from home would kill any chance of friendship making. I've been going out to work for 13 years & I still have no friends!
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Post by Cardinal Pirelli on Apr 11, 2020 17:29:50 GMT
I thought I read it would be a year at least given we have no idea how the vaccine will work on a mass scale? Ebola vaccine was fast tracked and developed very quickly; there will be several vaccine candidates (70+ at the moment, of which a few will be successful). Combination therapy with existing anti-malarials and/or HIV treatment will accelerate ability to treat at the scale required. It took five years, from 2014 to 2019, for the Ebola vaccine to be tested and approved. If that's what fast-tracked means then we have a bit of a problem! On 'niche', Youtube shows the atomisation of entertainment. Atomisation, niche, whatever it's called, it's the USP. Take regional theatre, what it needs is to become more regional, less 'let's put on what comes from London'. If people can watch what 'comes from London' on their own screens then they have to change. The mid level commercial theatres will struggle. Receiving houses in particular if they expect to copy what can be streamed from elsewhere.
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Post by basdfg on Apr 11, 2020 17:32:04 GMT
I think shows will also be made for touring. I think no more than 60% of the current 500+ seaters in the west end will still be usable in 5 years time. May I ask if you think that's because we will require long-term social distancing measures that will not be compatoble with the buildings? Or because of lack of demand? Or because the buildings will fall into disrepair? Or what? Working from home would increase the amount of people who never go out due to lack of friends. My likely future employment is office based but working from home would kill any chance of friendship making. I've been going out to work for 13 years & I still have no friends! Lack of demand.
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Post by Jon on Apr 11, 2020 19:13:49 GMT
I doubt only we'll see 40% of theatres close in the West End or in general.
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Post by ceebee on Apr 11, 2020 21:48:25 GMT
Ebola vaccine was fast tracked and developed very quickly; there will be several vaccine candidates (70+ at the moment, of which a few will be successful). Combination therapy with existing anti-malarials and/or HIV treatment will accelerate ability to treat at the scale required. It took five years, from 2014 to 2019, for the Ebola vaccine to be tested and approved. If that's what fast-tracked means then we have a bit of a problem! On 'niche', Youtube shows the atomisation of entertainment. Atomisation, niche, whatever it's called, it's the USP. Take regional theatre, what it needs is to become more regional, less 'let's put on what comes from London'. If people can watch what 'comes from London' on their own screens then they have to change. The mid level commercial theatres will struggle. Receiving houses in particular if they expect to copy what can be streamed from elsewhere. Well I must have imagined the vaccine that was being issued out in Sierra Leone to combat the (then) epidemic. Testing and approval for commercial viability are very different to fasttracking in a deregulated country and addressing the urgent needs of the population within. Re: regional theatre, for as long as truck theatre shows exist, the model won't change (or need to change). People still want to see live theatre. All this fatalism around the death of theatre is ridiculous. Mid level commercial theatres will adapt and survive.
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Post by basdfg on Apr 11, 2020 22:49:03 GMT
I doubt only we'll see 40% of theatres close in the West End or in general. Don't a lot of shows rely on overseas tourists to keep them going in the summer.
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Post by Cardinal Pirelli on Apr 11, 2020 23:19:52 GMT
It took five years, from 2014 to 2019, for the Ebola vaccine to be tested and approved. If that's what fast-tracked means then we have a bit of a problem! On 'niche', Youtube shows the atomisation of entertainment. Atomisation, niche, whatever it's called, it's the USP. Take regional theatre, what it needs is to become more regional, less 'let's put on what comes from London'. If people can watch what 'comes from London' on their own screens then they have to change. The mid level commercial theatres will struggle. Receiving houses in particular if they expect to copy what can be streamed from elsewhere. Well I must have imagined the vaccine that was being issued out in Sierra Leone to combat the (then) epidemic. Testing and approval for commercial viability are very different to fasttracking in a deregulated country and addressing the urgent needs of the population within. Re: regional theatre, for as long as truck theatre shows exist, the model won't change (or need to change). People still want to see live theatre. All this fatalism around the death of theatre is ridiculous. Mid level commercial theatres will adapt and survive. Trials took a few years. I suppose they could rush one for this virus if they look vaguely promising but we could end up with something unsafe as a result. On regional theatre, I'm not talking about places like the Royal Exchange, Bristol Old Vic etc., of course they will be fine and their clear identities will pull them through. Places like Manchester Opera House will struggle for quite a while with the economic hit taken but I'm really talking about the places that get the tribute concerts, the occasional half week of a tour. A number of those are quite likely to shutter.
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Post by Jon on Apr 11, 2020 23:23:58 GMT
Don't a lot of shows rely on overseas tourists to keep them going in the summer. It doesn't mean theatre owners will be closing up their theatres as they'll always be shows looking for theatres.
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Post by basdfg on Apr 11, 2020 23:33:29 GMT
Don't a lot of shows rely on overseas tourists to keep them going in the summer. It doesn't mean theatre owners will be closing up their theatres as they'll always be shows looking for theatres. Not if it is uneconomical for shows to run in the west end.
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Post by Jon on Apr 12, 2020 0:00:15 GMT
The West End and theatre in general will be fine, it will take a hit but it has managed to adapt, survive and even thrive through the decades and centuries after things like wars, plagues, terrorism and economic downturns, it'll be no different now.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 12, 2020 2:27:22 GMT
The West End and theatre in general will be fine, it will take a hit but it has managed to adapt, survive and even thrive through the decades and centuries after things like wars, plagues, terrorism and economic downturns, it'll be no different now. Agreed - it just needs to adapt and my best guess is that means a resurgence in popular plays with a small number of characters and where possible, a decent bit of stunt casting. If this is the way forward, it’ll be interesting to see what kind of audience they try to attract - will younger members of the public be more inclined to go to the theatre to see a ‘name’? In terms of musicals I’d be really surprised to hear of any new (and not yet announced) productions coming any time soon. Best guess is they send something popular to the regions and transfer musicals into town. I wouldn’t discount an increase in the number of one off concert style musicals either - I guess they’re relatively low cost for a decent return?
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Post by The Matthew on Apr 12, 2020 4:25:56 GMT
I see doom-prediction is a growing industry these days.
This isn't like a war or a hurricane where there's widespread destruction and a need for a programme of rebuilding before everything can get back to normal. All the infrastructure and resources are still there; it's just that some things are mothballed for a while. Once this is over people will want a return to normality. They'll want the same services as before, and the people who had the skills to deliver those services will still be out there and will still have those skills.
There will be some changes in the details, obviously. Businesses with high fixed costs may run out of money and get snapped up by other businesses that are managing better. Perhaps new companies will be formed to take up the space left by those who have failed. But it's not like everything has been flattened and we have to start again.
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Post by ceebee on Apr 12, 2020 7:55:39 GMT
Well I must have imagined the vaccine that was being issued out in Sierra Leone to combat the (then) epidemic. Testing and approval for commercial viability are very different to fasttracking in a deregulated country and addressing the urgent needs of the population within. Re: regional theatre, for as long as truck theatre shows exist, the model won't change (or need to change). People still want to see live theatre. All this fatalism around the death of theatre is ridiculous. Mid level commercial theatres will adapt and survive. Trials took a few years. I suppose they could rush one for this virus if they look vaguely promising but we could end up with something unsafe as a result. On regional theatre, I'm not talking about places like the Royal Exchange, Bristol Old Vic etc., of course they will be fine and their clear identities will pull them through. Places like Manchester Opera House will struggle for quite a while with the economic hit taken but I'm really talking about the places that get the tribute concerts, the occasional half week of a tour. A number of those are quite likely to shutter. I can only go on my own first hand experiences regarding Ebola, which focused on Sierra Leone. Unless my mind plays tricks on me, the vaccine was effectively deployed in communities along with some combination therapies. Of course, if your experience was different, you will have a different perspective. Medical trials happen in stages, and part of the trial phasing is to do patient/populace trials (as I'm sure you know). Compare Ebola to the time it took to create a Malaria vaccine (20+ years) and you also know that the timeline varies from disease to disease. The positive about Covid 19 is that science has already worked out the basics, hence why so many vaccine candidates are in the pipeline already. Every vaccine is effectively a coded solution to a medically encrypted disease - scientists have to reverse engineer a vaccine based on how the disease impacts the human body, exposing the patient to just enough of a hit to build immunity without endangering their health or life. Advances in genomics have accelerated vaccine development as the body is now effectively mapped. Stuff that used to take years can now be done in days. Regarding theatres shuttering, again I disagree... The reason being that houses and spaces can (and will) flex to meet the requirements of the new world - whether that is capacity caps, or seating distances. So today's 1000 seater may become a 600 seater, 2000 seater may become a 1000 seater, mid-size venue in a small town that gets tribute concerts or half a week of a tour repositions itself as a venue for up and coming artists/comedians/cabaret. My point is that theatre has reinvented itself for eternity, and it will take a lot more than a pandemic virus to wipe out the purpose and function of a theatre within society (whether West-End, Broadway, local town or end of the pier).
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Post by ceebee on Apr 12, 2020 8:04:03 GMT
I see doom-prediction is a growing industry these days. This isn't like a war or a hurricane where there's widespread destruction and a need for a programme of rebuilding before everything can get back to normal. All the infrastructure and resources are still there; it's just that some things are mothballed for a while. Once this is over people will want a return to normality. They'll want the same services as before, and the people who had the skills to deliver those services will still be out there and will still have those skills. There will be some changes in the details, obviously. Businesses with high fixed costs may run out of money and get snapped up by other businesses that are managing better. Perhaps new companies will be formed to take up the space left by those who have failed. But it's not like everything has been flattened and we have to start again. Totally agree. The doom-mongering is ridiculous. It's as if theatres were only built after the growth in mass air travel and somehow the tourist pound is the only thing that keeps theatre afloat. As with any supply and demand business, theatre will adapt to market conditions. Perhaps, just perhaps, we might see a decrease in some of the greedy dynamic pricing that has whored theatre off to the highest bidder, so the days of more realistic / flatter pricing models result in lower profitability and certain producers might need to trade helicopters every three years instead of every other year. Also, a downturn is an excellent time for those with deeper pockets to ride out the storm and make strategic decisions for the future. Take the two of the biggest theatre owners in London... Both in their 70s, both billionaires. What if they just decided to bequeath their theatres on peppercorn rents for a period of (say) twenty years after their demise? Totally possible. Giving back a longlasting legacy to an industry that created their wealth. I'm big believer in philanthropy and know that the likes of CamMack / ALW already do tons for the industry, but if there was an existential threat to the survival of theatre (which there won't be) I am sure they would step up long before any such threat killed live theatre as we know it.
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Post by basdfg on Apr 12, 2020 9:37:37 GMT
I can see Broadway streaming shows in the UK to replace the need for Brits to go the USA. I doubt anyone in the uk will go to new york just to be a tourist for a very long while. Places like Majorica will only be for tourists who can go by boat or private jet - many don't think cheap flights will resume on economic or environmental grounds, Sorry to be harsh but the world has changed permanently a lot more than many on here are ready to accept.
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Post by talkingheads on Apr 12, 2020 10:05:56 GMT
I can see Broadway streaming shows in the UK to replace the need for Brits to go the USA. I doubt anyone in the uk will go to new york just to be a tourist for a very long while. Places like Majorica will only be for tourists who can go by boat or private jet - many don't think cheap flights will resume on economic or environmental grounds, Sorry to be harsh but the world has changed permanently a lot more than many on here are ready to accept. Agreed. I don't see it as doom mongering as some have said. I see it as being realistic and not getting my hopes up too high too soon. I want theatre to get back to normal as much as anyone but I think we're going to have to accept a new normal for quite a while.
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Post by poster J on Apr 12, 2020 10:42:29 GMT
I doubt anyone in the uk will go to new york just to be a tourist for a very long while. I will. It's one of my favourite places in the world and when it is safe to do so I will be supporting the tourism industry there It is ludicrous to think that most places won't open up again in some capacity as soon as they reasonably can - too much of the economy and too many livelihoods depend on tourism for there to be any other outcome. Of course some people will be more cautious than others or otherwise incapable of going anywhere anytime soon, but for every one of those there is someone else who is fortunate enough to remain in employment, is saving a lot of money and will be first on a plane when travel does resume. I'll certainly be scheduling a NY trip and others as soon as I can. The question isn't whether there will be people travelling, it is when will that travelling be possible.
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Post by NeilVHughes on Apr 12, 2020 10:43:42 GMT
We are in a situation not seen since the time of Shakespeare and the plague closures and as then Theatre continued and people got on with their lives and the new normal even though there was a Civil War and Theatre closures not long after, but that is another story and one for historians to muse upon.
To plan you need a few firm assumptions the most important being when is it safe to open and once open the confidence to invest. Using the War terminology used too often in my opinion, a war ends on a specific date a contagion does not.
At the moment we are being prepared for a protracted loosening and tightening of restrictions as cases increase or decrease and this will continue until enough of the population have immunity through affliction or vaccination.
(An aside the Government is still likely supporting herd immunity, a lot of the businesses still open and especially construction and the gig economy employ primarily young healthy low risk workers who if become infected will recover and the risk of these people infecting the at risk population reduced by identifying those at high risk and ordering them to self-isolate through fear with targeted individual letters unlike the generic one most of us received and also the focus on an antibody test to confirm immunity over vaccination)
A vaccine even if developed in 6 months will take a long time to manufacture, distribute and administering and the nationalistic protection as per PPE will be much worse so vaccination is in reality a distant hope.
Therefore the biggest hurdle is the uncertainty of how long before the next closure and therefore the willingness to risk capital.
As above I expect for the first 18 months or so we will see simple low cost bankable productions which can recoup their costs quickly.
Expect lean, cheap and adaptable productions of the ‘favourites’ which favour the smaller Theatres to predominate initially.
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Post by kathryn on Apr 12, 2020 10:49:35 GMT
I have a trip to New York booked for late September (and then on to Canada) and if the situation is improved enough to allow travel and the theatres are open I’ll definitely be going.
And I’ll be back in the theatre in London too. Streaming/NT Live is just not the same.
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Post by Cardinal Pirelli on Apr 12, 2020 11:00:47 GMT
Trials took a few years. I suppose they could rush one for this virus if they look vaguely promising but we could end up with something unsafe as a result. On regional theatre, I'm not talking about places like the Royal Exchange, Bristol Old Vic etc., of course they will be fine and their clear identities will pull them through. Places like Manchester Opera House will struggle for quite a while with the economic hit taken but I'm really talking about the places that get the tribute concerts, the occasional half week of a tour. A number of those are quite likely to shutter. I can only go on my own first hand experiences regarding Ebola, which focused on Sierra Leone. Unless my mind plays tricks on me, the vaccine was effectively deployed in communities along with some combination therapies. Of course, if your experience was different, you will have a different perspective. Medical trials happen in stages, and part of the trial phasing is to do patient/populace trials (as I'm sure you know). Compare Ebola to the time it took to create a Malaria vaccine (20+ years) and you also know that the timeline varies from disease to disease. The positive about Covid 19 is that science has already worked out the basics, hence why so many vaccine candidates are in the pipeline already. Every vaccine is effectively a coded solution to a medically encrypted disease - scientists have to reverse engineer a vaccine based on how the disease impacts the human body, exposing the patient to just enough of a hit to build immunity without endangering their health or life. Advances in genomics have accelerated vaccine development as the body is now effectively mapped. Stuff that used to take years can now be done in days. Regarding theatres shuttering, again I disagree... The reason being that houses and spaces can (and will) flex to meet the requirements of the new world - whether that is capacity caps, or seating distances. So today's 1000 seater may become a 600 seater, 2000 seater may become a 1000 seater, mid-size venue in a small town that gets tribute concerts or half a week of a tour repositions itself as a venue for up and coming artists/comedians/cabaret. My point is that theatre has reinvented itself for eternity, and it will take a lot more than a pandemic virus to wipe out the purpose and function of a theatre within society (whether West-End, Broadway, local town or end of the pier). On vaccines, yes there is a lag between trials and approval of that vaccine, the five years is the time of that happening, when a limited number of people (those who volunteer or, in extremis, those at the most serious risk) will be given it. I think we are at cross purposes on the other point, you are right in that theatre will exist and just adapt itself to the new reality. My point is that existing organisations and, in a number of cases, existing buildings will cease to be a part of that. It’s simple economics, that many of these will now fail. Then there will be a gap in the market and others, and indeed the same people as well, will rush to fill that gap. It provides a great opportunity as well, in that what existed can now be adapted to the new reality. The ones who fail will do what they did before, the ones that succeed will adapt. At the small theatre company end this happens all the time anyway. Short lives, moving on, It’s not difficult to see that spreading to larger concerns. Places like the NT, RSC, they’re going to be fine. The economic situation expected to occur now points to many businesses failing and theatre will be no exception to that. Theatre will survive, but theatres and companies will not.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 12, 2020 11:01:34 GMT
kathryn It's really not - really grateful they are doing it and it gives me something to look forward to each week, but it's just enough to produce an itch and not enough to scratch it!
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Post by Cardinal Pirelli on Apr 12, 2020 11:14:51 GMT
We are in a situation not seen since the time of Shakespeare and the plague closures and as then Theatre continued and people got on with their lives and the new normal even though there was a Civil War and Theatre closures not long after, but that is another story and one for historians to muse upon. To plan you need a few firm assumptions the most important being when is it safe to open and once open the confidence to invest. Using the War terminology used too often in my opinion, a war ends on a specific date a contagion does not. At the moment we are being prepared for a protracted loosening and tightening of restrictions as cases increase or decrease and this will continue until enough of the population have immunity through affliction or vaccination. (An aside the Government is still likely supporting herd immunity, a lot of the businesses still open and especially construction and the gig economy employ primarily young healthy low risk workers who if become infected will recover and the risk of these people infecting the at risk population reduced by identifying those at high risk and ordering them to self-isolate through fear with targeted individual letters unlike the generic one most of us received and also the focus on an antibody test to confirm immunity over vaccination) A vaccine even if developed in 6 months will take a long time to manufacture, distribute and administering and the nationalistic protection as per PPE will be much worse so vaccination is a distant hope. Therefore the biggest hurdle is the uncertainty of how long before the next closure and therefore the willingness to risk capital. As above I expect for the first 18 months or so we will see simple low cost bankable productions which can recoup their costs quickly. Expect lean, cheap and adaptable productions of the ‘favourites’ which favour the smaller Theatres to predominate initially. Yes, big shows with long lead times are too much of a risk when there is a high possibility of the same restrictions needing to happen again for the next wave (maybe in Autumn but this virus doesn’t appear to be very seasonal). On your aside, very much so. I would suggest that many others, apart from those who are being shielded, are at significantly increased risk and need to be told that. Those with diabetes and/or hypertension, for example, need to avoid contact as much as possible. Being male and being over fifty is also a bigger risk than being twenty and female. Put most of those together and that’s me(!), so wild horses aren’t going to drag me into any dangerous situation, like a theatre, until we have a vaccine that works. So young people carry on, we’ll be back with you at some point.
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Post by ceebee on Apr 12, 2020 11:23:26 GMT
I can see Broadway streaming shows in the UK to replace the need for Brits to go the USA. I doubt anyone in the uk will go to new york just to be a tourist for a very long while. Places like Majorica will only be for tourists who can go by boat or private jet - many don't think cheap flights will resume on economic or environmental grounds, Sorry to be harsh but the world has changed permanently a lot more than many on here are ready to accept. Tell me this in a year when flights have been reinstated, folk are jetting off for sunshine/skiing breaks and theatres have found solutions to any need for social distancing. The world will not stop turning for a minority of high risk people. Ultimately, vaccines will fix this. Economies will not be allowed to fail, as this would threaten capitalism itself. I. Sorry to say that if it means 90% of world populace surviving versus deaths in the 10s of millions, economics will dictate because lack of money will become the true threat. World wars etc demonstrate that the world is willing to accept a disproportionate amount of death when faced with an existential threat.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 12, 2020 12:32:28 GMT
I can see Broadway streaming shows in the UK to replace the need for Brits to go the USA. I doubt anyone in the uk will go to new york just to be a tourist for a very long while. Places like Majorica will only be for tourists who can go by boat or private jet - many don't think cheap flights will resume on economic or environmental grounds, Sorry to be harsh but the world has changed permanently a lot more than many on here are ready to accept. As soon as the deaths are heavily reduced whether it be due to a vaccine, herd immunity or treatment drugs (so in two years max), I will go to New York. I have no idea whether prices for flights and theatre tickets will go up or down (and frankly, none of us actually know yet) but either way I've had refunds from various things I'd already booked for and am sitting at home spending very little money for the forseeable future, so I see no reason why I wouldn't be able to afford it. I will happily spend more than I would have previously to do something I love and that - by that point - I'll have been deprived of for a significant amount of time. All I see on social media are people talking about how they miss going to the cinema, going out to eat, travelling etc. and that they can't wait to do it again. So I don't think I'm alone in this either. I understand that for most, if not all of us, this is the most life-changing wide-scale thing to happen in our lifetimes. But honestly, that just goes to show how sheltered we've been. Natural disasters, wars, invasion, genocide and yes, plagues have always been around. And theatre, having been around for over 2000 years, has seen it all already. The last time there was a pandemic of this scale, World War I was literally happening at the same time. And yet, life did eventually return to normal and it didn't take decades either. We're more equipped to deal with these things than we ever have been. Nothing has been changed permanently. There are recessions almost every decade. We deal with it, we recover, we return to normal and then we deal with the next one.
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Post by HereForTheatre on Apr 12, 2020 13:13:05 GMT
The theatre industry is doomed. There will be no theatres left. Nobody will put on shows. Worse still, there will be no need for this forum anymore Apparently.
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Post by Jon on Apr 12, 2020 13:56:29 GMT
I will. It's one of my favourite places in the world and when it is safe to do so I will be supporting the tourism industry there It is ludicrous to think that most places won't open up again in some capacity as soon as they reasonably can - too much of the economy and too many livelihoods depend on tourism for there to be any other outcome. Of course some people will be more cautious than others or otherwise incapable of going anywhere anytime soon, but for every one of those there is someone else who is fortunate enough to remain in employment, is saving a lot of money and will be first on a plane when travel does resume. I'll certainly be scheduling a NY trip and others as soon as I can. The question isn't whether there will be people travelling, it is when will that travelling be possible. I agree, this idea that nobody will go travelling or go on holiday for a long time is just doom mongering.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 12, 2020 14:33:04 GMT
Theatre isn’t going to die but I think we will be incredibly fortunate to see the world revert back to business as usual any time soon. The government are clearly expecting lockdown to last at least until the end of May (they said they’d be paying wages initially for three months) and then restrictions have to be lifted gradually to prevent a mass outbreak.
As theatre was one of the first things to close it will therefore be one of the last things to re-open. If the government lift restrictions over the summer months gradually, it’ll be almost winter by the time attention gets back into the theatres and then there’s little point in re-opening them if a second wave is expected to hit.
So my guess is that theatre looks very likely to be closed until summer 2021, by which time we hopefully shall have a vaccination - assuming we can figure one out, the virus doesn’t continue to mutate and the world doesn’t go to war with China.
But even if theatres are open earlier, investment in it is going to be minimal - why would anyone invest a fortune in new productions until the world is safe and audiences have no reason to stay away? It was hard enough to recoup before all this happened.
My guess is everyone will look to the long runners and see how quickly audiences flock back to those before investments are made in something new. So sadly, the knock on effect could last years.
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Post by duncan on Apr 12, 2020 14:57:25 GMT
How will theatre function - differently!
Lockdown being lifted, and that's most likely another 9 weeks away, is just the beginning of the end as we are likely to see rolling lockdowns for specific geographical locations and people who are at risk over the next 18 months or so as infections flare up from time to time until we either have a vaccine or herd immunity.
Now theatre may be able to reopen but producers etc are going to have to be careful about the productions they put on, expect to see a lot of one hander or two performer plays and stripped back musicals, no overseas talent (just in case they get stuck in the UK), plenty of new writing about life in isolation and in all likelihood no actor over the age of 70 or any actor with an underlying health condition (and remember that includes asthma and diabetes) in any cast as the insurance will be astronomical.
We're probably a good 5 years from theatre being back to what it was in January this year.
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Post by basdfg on Apr 12, 2020 15:24:17 GMT
Economic war will happen with China, without doubt. It will be made to pay for the economic vacuum it created by allowing its ramshackle wet markets to continue. Expect to see Huawei lose UK deal, and sanctions in future. Hollyowood will go bust - none of the blockbusters are sustainable without China.
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Post by basdfg on Apr 12, 2020 15:27:10 GMT
I will. It's one of my favourite places in the world and when it is safe to do so I will be supporting the tourism industry there It is ludicrous to think that most places won't open up again in some capacity as soon as they reasonably can - too much of the economy and too many livelihoods depend on tourism for there to be any other outcome. Of course some people will be more cautious than others or otherwise incapable of going anywhere anytime soon, but for every one of those there is someone else who is fortunate enough to remain in employment, is saving a lot of money and will be first on a plane when travel does resume. I'll certainly be scheduling a NY trip and others as soon as I can. The question isn't whether there will be people travelling, it is when will that travelling be possible. I agree, this idea that nobody will go travelling or go on holiday for a long time is just doom mongering. Not Doom mongering but the truth.
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