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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2019 12:27:54 GMT
So now that we have had all the major award nominations prior to the Oscar nominations, what are we all wanting/expecting to get nominated? It certainly looks an interesting race, especially in certian categories, whilst others seem pretty set in stone.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2019 12:37:28 GMT
Personally I think the acting nominations are pretty set in stone bar a couple of slots which are highlighted.
Best Actor
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born)
William Dafoe (At Eternity's Gate)
Christian Bale (Vice)
Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book)
Best Actress
Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns)
Glenn Close (The Wife)
Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born)
Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
Best Supporting Actor
Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman)
Mahershala Ali (Green Book)
Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Sam Rockwell (Vice)
Timothée Chalamet (Beautiful Boy)
Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams (Vice)
Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Emma Stone (The Favourite)
Margot Robbie (Mary Queen of Scots)
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)
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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2019 12:56:15 GMT
Best Supporting Actress Amy Adams (Very) Claire Foy (First Man) Emma Stone (The Favourite) Margot Robbie (Mary Queen of Scots) Rachel Weisz (The Favourite) Regina King is more likely to be in there in place of Claire Foy or (more likely) Margot Robbie. Or at least she should be. Blunt not getting a Bafta nomination would usually hurt her chances of a nomination a bit, but there isn't really anyone else to replace her unless the Academy goes for Viola Davis instead. It doesn't really matter anyway as the winner will be Close or Colman. |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2019 12:57:27 GMT
Best Supporting Actress Amy Adams (Very) Claire Foy (First Man) Emma Stone (The Favourite) Margot Robbie (Mary Queen of Scots) Rachel Weisz (The Favourite) Regina King is more likely to be in there in place of Claire Foy or (more likely) Margot Robbie. Or at least she should be. Oh damn, I completely forgot about Regina, of course she will be nominated! She will probably win too. I'll take Claire Foy off then, just because Margot seems to be getting more major nominations haha. I do think that final slot will be Claire or Margot though.  |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2019 12:59:10 GMT
Margot Robbie has no right to be there. She spends more time fighting with the wig than acting and the film is a bit soapy. It's like 'The Other Boleyn Girl' with even less of a focus on historical accuracy.
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Post by Mark on Jan 9, 2019 13:37:42 GMT
I think you might have it there Daniel, but I'd place Claire Foy in there above Rachel Weisz.
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Post by Jon on Jan 9, 2019 13:41:53 GMT
Best animated will be a tossup between Spider-Man Into the Spiderverse and Incredibles 2, unless there is an upset and they go with Isle of Dogs
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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2019 13:53:06 GMT
I think you might have it there Daniel, but I'd place Claire Foy in there above Rachel Weisz. Weisz will definitely be nominated, she's been nominated everywhere else and The Favourite has some traction (though it won't win any Best Film awards except possibly Best British Film at the Baftas), whereas First Man has seemingly sunk without trace If it wasn't for the fact that her vote is inevitably being split with Emma Stone, Rachel Weisz would have a shot at winning, but as it is if Regina King doesn't win it will probably be Amy Adams (and I presume Adams will take the SAG award given King isn't nominated). |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2019 14:02:35 GMT
In my mind, I want Rami, Emily, Timothée and Amy to win but of those, it seems only Rami has a real shot. Timothée should of won last year so he is overdue, as is Amy, and Emily is sensational in Poppins and has never even been nominated which is disgraceful considering, with The Devil Wears Prada, she waw nominated everywhere except the Oscars!
What do we think of the murmourings of Blunt maybe getting nominated for Supporting for A Quiet Place as well as Lead for Poppins? She'd certainly be deserving of both and I know some are predicting it!
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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2019 15:12:57 GMT
What do we think of the murmourings of Blunt maybe getting nominated for Supporting for A Quiet Place as well as Lead for Poppins? She'd certainly be deserving of both and I know some are predicting it! If she can't even manage a single nomination at the Baftas then there is no way Blunt will score two noms at the Oscars. All the predictions for A Quiet Place are just false hope rather than based on anything solid in my opinion. |
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Post by orchidman on Jan 9, 2019 15:25:21 GMT
Spike Lee is 12/1 to win Best Director with the bookies. Good price.
Can't see Bradley Cooper winning for his first film given it's such pedestrian material.
Cuaron won for his previous film Gravity and Mexicans have won 4 of the last 5. He is the 1/5 betting favourite and I think you have to take him on at that price when it's a Spanish language, limited release, black and white film.
Spike Lee has never won.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2019 15:25:30 GMT
What do we think of the murmourings of Blunt maybe getting nominated for Supporting for A Quiet Place as well as Lead for Poppins? She'd certainly be deserving of both and I know some are predicting it! If she can't even manage a single nomination at the Baftas then there is no way Blunt will score two noms at the Oscars. All the predictions for A Quiet Place are just false hope rather than based on anything solid in my opinion. I'm shocked she didn't get nominated for Poppins at the BAFTA's. Clearly Viola Davis is the one that got in her way in this instance, which unless the Oscars continue their love for Viola, won't get nominated for an Oscar and Emily will get in there. I feel bad saying that as I like Viola and shes great in the film, but Emily is amazing in Poppins and is way overdue for a nomination. Viola is fine guys, give Emily a nod this time around. Please. |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2019 18:10:05 GMT
NOthing for Death of Stalin? Ok, it was the only film I saw last year, but I thought it was excellent.
I saw The Favourite at the weekend and didn't enjoy it much.
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Post by Jon on Jan 9, 2019 18:12:32 GMT
NOthing for Death of Stalin? Ok, it was the only film I saw last year, but I thought it was excellent. I saw The Favourite at the weekend and didn't enjoy it much. Death of Stalin was released in 2017 so wouldn’t be eligible for this year |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2019 19:17:48 GMT
Oh, ok. That's odd, I thought I saw it nominated for a load of other awards this week.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 9, 2019 21:06:16 GMT
I don't see how Emily Blunts role in A quiet place could be classed as supporting really.
I doubt she'd win for poppins as its not done THAT well commercially or critically, other films have more momentum at this stage.
I'd love to see Olivia Coleman get it, I feel like she will be Judi Denchs successor as talented award winning actress and national treasure
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Post by harrietcraig on Jan 9, 2019 22:38:55 GMT
NOthing for Death of Stalin? Ok, it was the only film I saw last year, but I thought it was excellent. I saw The Favourite at the weekend and didn't enjoy it much. Death of Stalin was released in 2017 so wouldn’t be eligible for this year The Death of Stalin was released in the UK in 2017, but it didn't get a commercial release in the US until 2018, so it is eligible for this year's Oscars. |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 10, 2019 7:13:30 GMT
I don't see how Emily Blunts role in A quiet place could be classed as supporting really. It was classed as supporting at the SAG awards this year. But then again, Viola Davis wasn't a supporting role in 'Fences' and Mahershala Ali certainly isn't supporting in 'Green Book' either. To be fair, neither are Timothee Chalamet, Rachel Weisz or Emma Stone and they're all likely supporting category nominees too. |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 10, 2019 9:40:07 GMT
Is it … I could be making this up, but isn't every role considered supporting by default unless the actor is above-the-title on the poster or a specific application has been made to consider the role in question leading?
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Post by Deleted on Jan 10, 2019 10:53:33 GMT
Is it … I could be making this up, but isn't every role considered supporting by default unless the actor is above-the-title on the poster or a specific application has been made to consider the role in question leading? Nope, the producers of each film arbitrarily decide who is Leading and who is Supporting depending on who they think has the best chance of awards success in each category. |
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Post by Deleted on Jan 14, 2019 21:09:41 GMT
Has anyone noticed Regina King is following the same path as Sylvester Stallone a few years ago? Like, matching eachother award for award in the four major awards.
BAFTA - Neither Nominated
Critics' Choice - Both Won
Golden Globe - Both Won
Screen Actors Guild - Neither Nominated
Whilst it appears Regina will get nominated like Stallone was, I do wonder if we will see her lose in the same way. It appears she will be nominated alongside (based on nominations for the four prior major awards):
Amy Adams (Vice)
Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Emma Stone (The Favourite)
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)
then the final slot being either:
Claire Foy (First Man)
Margot Robbie (Mary, Queen of Scots)
with a very small chance the last slot being:
Emily Blunt (A Quiet Place)
Nicole Kidman (Boy Erased)
So if Regina doesn't win the Oscar this year, who does? Amy Adams for the long overdue factor? Or one of The Favourite women right?
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Post by Deleted on Jan 15, 2019 0:21:03 GMT
Rachel Weisz and Emma Stone will cancel each other out, and both have won before - I don't see either of them getting a second Oscar for a film that is good but not great and performances that are very good but not earth-shattering.
Regina King should win it, her lack of SAG nomination just shows the lack of buzz for Beale Street as much as anything else (which is a shame as it's fabulous).
The only person who can beat her is Amy Adams, and that would be more of an "about time" win than anything else, and if Glenn Close is going to win Best Actress then I'm not sure the Academy would give out two "overdue" acting prizes in one year...different story if Olivia Colman takes Best Actress of course.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 15, 2019 0:29:08 GMT
My thought too with regard to Amy and Glenn, I just can't see them giving too overdue actresses Oscars in the same year, especially two who are so overdue! In the same respect, with Christian Bale and Mahershala Ali expected to get their second, all four acting awards matching in this way seems unlikely!
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Post by Deleted on Jan 15, 2019 22:27:40 GMT
I've opted for a late-night screening of The Favourite tonight, I'm really excited to see it! Based on all the hype and awards buzz, I'm very excited to finally be able to join the praises if I enjoy it as much as everyone else seems to have done!
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Post by Mark on Jan 15, 2019 22:31:26 GMT
I've opted for a late-night screening of The Favourite tonight, I'm really excited to see it! Based on all the hype and awards buzz, I'm very excited to finally be able to join the praises if I enjoy it as much as everyone else seems to have done! I went to a 6pm showing tonight. It's wonderful! I take back what I said before and will ignore the odds, and hope all three women will be nominated. |
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