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Post by NeilVHughes on Aug 17, 2020 16:34:02 GMT
The difference is that Boris and Co saw the mess Scotland got themselves into and still did nothing but continue running towards the cliff.
An algorithm that has a bias towards small class sizes and previous school performance was always going to favour fee paying schools, with students given an U randomly because the school had one last year should have assigned the algorithm to history.
How Universities react now is difficult as any offers given off the old results are legally binding and first choice Universities that a student will now have the grades to attend are likely to be full.
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Post by vdcni on Aug 17, 2020 16:55:19 GMT
Is it that surprising that on a website where the vast majority of people appear to live in England that the focus is on what happened in England?
It didn't help that the Tories in Scotland were highly critical of the SNP government and called for resignations while the UK government criticised the U-Turn, saying they had degraded their results yet have now done exactly the same thing. I have no love for the SNP but after they admitted their error and corrected it just going along the same path was madness.
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Post by theglenbucklaird on Aug 17, 2020 17:04:27 GMT
My teacher predicted I'd get a C in Economics. I only went and got an A, didn't I...not because I worked especially hard, or spent every waking hour revising, but because I'm an economics genius. 🙂 I even finished the exam paper with about an hour to spare! Went the other way in Maths, mind, so I suppose it all balanced out. Correct, students do get higher than my friends predictions. And some get lower. Total statistical prediction is what is solid
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Post by Deleted on Aug 17, 2020 17:04:44 GMT
I've a friend teaches A-levels in a school in Liverpool. Twenty five pupils in his class and of the twenty five grades he predicted twenty were marked down. Of the eighty percent marked down, fifteen were by one grade and five marked down by two grades. Also shown me a little history of grade prediction success rate which is solid. Sorry Matthew you are going to get annoyed with me. I think this has a couple of simple solutions, but the fairest is teacher grades. The government have made another monumental cock up which has led to the obvious u-turn. Really not very good at government this crew That's just a single data point. Any proposal has to be applied equally to every school, and no matter what scheme is used there are going to be some pupils whose evaluation is close the the result they'd have had in the exams and some that won't be close and no possible government would be able to come up with a proposal that got it right for everyone. It's trivially easy to come up with a solution that works well for a small subset of cases. Coming up with a solution that works for nearly every case is far harder, especially when the sheer scale of the task means you can't individually evaluate every situation in person. Teacher grades may work in some cases but not all teachers are equally competent, some are under pressure to make their schools "look good", some hold grudges against difficult pupils, some are racist, some are sexist, some have entirely arbitrary prejudices. Do you really want someone's results to be based on the evaluation of a person who thinks, for example, "girls can't do science"? It's not as if this is an unlikely scenario. Eliminating biases and creating a level playing field is one of the reasons we have exams in the first place. Also, I think it's important to remember that "the government" is not just whoever's in Downing Street and their mates. There are hundreds of thousands of people involved and all those people have been educated like everyone else and interviewed for their jobs like everyone else and trained for their positions like everyone else. The cabinet makes many of the final decisions but those decisions are based on the work of people who stay the same from election to election and don't suddenly turn into incompetent simpletons just because the current resident of Number 10 is an oaf.
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Post by theglenbucklaird on Aug 17, 2020 17:05:16 GMT
Can we stop thinking of the exams situation as being about a Conservative government please? Education is a devolved power and so Scotland (run by the SNP), Wales (run by Labour), NI (run by SF/DUP) have all had to drop the moderated grades as produced by their independent exam bodies. This is not about party politics - as it is politicians of all colours who have overseen this. Teacher predicted grades - www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-49330720 - the historical truth is that they are not accurate which is why Labour wanted to do away with them for University entrance in their last manifesto. Many things have gone wrong - but you cannot pin the blame on Boris or Williamson and then ignore the failures in Belfast, Edinburgh and Cardiff as if they didn't happen. Would Gavin Williamson have apologised if he didn't arse this up?
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Post by NeilVHughes on Aug 17, 2020 17:08:21 GMT
...you cannot pin the blame on Boris or Williamson and then ignore the failures in Belfast, Edinburgh and Cardiff as if they didn't happen. That is exactly what Boris and Co did! One rule for the Government and another one for the rest of us?
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Post by Deleted on Aug 17, 2020 20:22:35 GMT
I didn't revise for my mocks - I was too busy doing my university entrance exams and interviews, being in the school play and various other activities and dealing with a death in my close family. My head of year commented that my mock grades were not at all reflective of my ability. I still got the grades for a very highly regarded university and am now the other side of 2 degrees and 2 sets of professional exams.
Mock exams are absolutely meaningless - the assessment of a teacher who has had at least the better part of a year, if not considerably longer, to get to know a pupil and their true interest and ability is far more meaningful.
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Post by theglenbucklaird on Aug 18, 2020 10:21:55 GMT
I've a friend teaches A-levels in a school in Liverpool. Twenty five pupils in his class and of the twenty five grades he predicted twenty were marked down. Of the eighty percent marked down, fifteen were by one grade and five marked down by two grades. Also shown me a little history of grade prediction success rate which is solid. Sorry Matthew you are going to get annoyed with me. I think this has a couple of simple solutions, but the fairest is teacher grades. The government have made another monumental cock up which has led to the obvious u-turn. Really not very good at government this crew That's just a single data point. Any proposal has to be applied equally to every school, and no matter what scheme is used there are going to be some pupils whose evaluation is close the the result they'd have had in the exams and some that won't be close and no possible government would be able to come up with a proposal that got it right for everyone. It's trivially easy to come up with a solution that works well for a small subset of cases. Coming up with a solution that works for nearly every case is far harder, especially when the sheer scale of the task means you can't individually evaluate every situation in person. Teacher grades may work in some cases but not all teachers are equally competent, some are under pressure to make their schools "look good", some hold grudges against difficult pupils, some are racist, some are sexist, some have entirely arbitrary prejudices. Do you really want someone's results to be based on the evaluation of a person who thinks, for example, "girls can't do science"? It's not as if this is an unlikely scenario. Eliminating biases and creating a level playing field is one of the reasons we have exams in the first place. Also, I think it's important to remember that "the government" is not just whoever's in Downing Street and their mates. There are hundreds of thousands of people involved and all those people have been educated like everyone else and interviewed for their jobs like everyone else and trained for their positions like everyone else. The cabinet makes many of the final decisions but those decisions are based on the work of people who stay the same from election to election and don't suddenly turn into incompetent simpletons just because the current resident of Number 10 is an oaf. I didn't say it was perfect, I said fairest and best way. We was always going to end at this solution. Why did the government put the poor students through the last week or so? Conservative MP's calling for the Education Minister to go today. Yeah, I think he has messed this up pretty badly for that to happen
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Post by esteveyb on Aug 18, 2020 23:07:21 GMT
I've a friend teaches A-levels in a school in Liverpool. Twenty five pupils in his class and of the twenty five grades he predicted twenty were marked down. Of the eighty percent marked down, fifteen were by one grade and five marked down by two grades. Also shown me a little history of grade prediction success rate which is solid. Sorry Matthew you are going to get annoyed with me. I think this has a couple of simple solutions, but the fairest is teacher grades. The government have made another monumental cock up which has led to the obvious u-turn. Really not very good at government this crew That's just a single data point. Any proposal has to be applied equally to every school, and no matter what scheme is used there are going to be some pupils whose evaluation is close the the result they'd have had in the exams and some that won't be close and no possible government would be able to come up with a proposal that got it right for everyone. It's trivially easy to come up with a solution that works well for a small subset of cases. Coming up with a solution that works for nearly every case is far harder, especially when the sheer scale of the task means you can't individually evaluate every situation in person. Teacher grades may work in some cases but not all teachers are equally competent, some are under pressure to make their schools "look good", some hold grudges against difficult pupils, some are racist, some are sexist, some have entirely arbitrary prejudices. Do you really want someone's results to be based on the evaluation of a person who thinks, for example, "girls can't do science"? It's not as if this is an unlikely scenario. Eliminating biases and creating a level playing field is one of the reasons we have exams in the first place. Also, I think it's important to remember that "the government" is not just whoever's in Downing Street and their mates. There are hundreds of thousands of people involved and all those people have been educated like everyone else and interviewed for their jobs like everyone else and trained for their positions like everyone else. The cabinet makes many of the final decisions but those decisions are based on the work of people who stay the same from election to election and don't suddenly turn into incompetent simpletons just because the current resident of Number 10 is an oaf. I believe there was guidance sent to schools and colleges about how to ensure centre assessment grades were fair and moderated. The trouble with assuming that a school or college would artificially inflate their results is that it fails to acknowledge that, next year when exams are back on, they would now have a potentially unachievable standard to reach - which Ofsted would undoubtedly question, Similarly, if a school is hoping to keep GCSE students on to study A-levels, giving inflated results will not benefit them - students who aren’t suited for A-levels drop out within the first few weeks, or fail the first year, or go onto fail at the end, even if they’re pulled through with lots of support. This massively affects the reputation of the sixth form provision - it’s one of the main things that parents and students ask before picking a sixth form or college. Most students don’t just have one teacher, or one tutor - and the appeals process is also there for students if they feel they have been unjustly marked because of a specific vendetta, for example - however, generally speaking, teachers want the best for the young people they work with, they want them to succeed and have the best opportunities suited for them.
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Post by basi1faw1ty on Aug 26, 2020 15:39:57 GMT
As the mask wearing has become more prevalent in my day to day life, I have begun to get scared. It's not the virus, it's the masks themselves. It's a psychological thing with me I guess. I struggle with eye contact in the first place but now I avoid it even more. I can't read people's expressions with just their eyes. Walking round shops, getting on the bus, and now even at my work, everyone has masks on, and I find it all very eerie, like I've entered a parrellel universe. I feel like all these masked people are glaring at me, judging me, for just existing. My Asperger's doesn't help with this either. These changes has come too quickly and drastically for me and my ability to adapt to change is impaired and it's so scary, I don't like it Idk if others feel similar or am I just... weird? I'm scared to post about this anywhere else too, especially Twitter and Facebook, as someone is bound to get offended.
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Post by talkingheads on Aug 26, 2020 15:53:19 GMT
As the mask wearing has become more prevalent in my day to day life, I have begun to get scared. It's not the virus, it's the masks themselves. It's a psychological thing with me I guess. I struggle with eye contact in the first place but now I avoid it even more. I can't read people's expressions with just their eyes. Walking round shops, getting on the bus, and now even at my work, everyone has masks on, and I find it all very eerie, like I've entered a parrellel universe. I feel like all these masked people are glaring at me, judging me, for just existing. My Asperger's doesn't help with this either. These changes has come too quickly and drastically for me and my ability to adapt to change is impaired and it's so scary, I don't like it Idk if others feel similar or am I just... weird? I'm scared to post about this anywhere else too, especially Twitter and Facebook, as someone is bound to get offended. No I get it. I wasn't the most social person before, but now? Getting to feel like a social leper! Don't chat to strangers anymore, all my shopping is done at speed. There is no comfort in going to the shops, I shop almost entirely online. I was never a huge fan of bars, but at least you could meet people. Going to the pub was like a military operation. Went for the Eat Out to Help Out, won't be rushing back.
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Post by lynette on Aug 26, 2020 15:59:50 GMT
So sorry you are having these difficulties, basi1fawlty and quite understandable. I haven't been out and about much so not confronted with the problem in same way. I don’t like it though. Just something basically human I think, to want to see the face. Reading expressions very important. Some of us think that the wearing of the full burqa is problematic but we had better not go down that road. Some people have adapted very well and some businesses must be flourishing from the sale of the designer mask, the pretty or sloganed or branded masks etc. But then other people and I think I am one of these, would prefer to see this as a temporary measure and the so called surgical paper one use/one day/one journey mask is sufficient. No need to make it seem permanent. I think some will take to the mask for the foreseeable future if it helps guard against other bugs, flu, colds etc. Or if they feel that having a cold it is more socially responsible to wear them. I think that was the situation in say, Japan before Covid.
One thing struck me- the photos of the politicians and the US campaigns will be forever on the net and in books ( not to mention our own cache of photos) and I’m wondering if in the future people will look at them and shake their heads solemnly, pitying our ignorance of science as we do when we see people smoking all the time in those old interviews and movies.
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Post by theatreian on Aug 26, 2020 16:18:08 GMT
the historical truth is that they are not accurate which is why Labour wanted to do away with them for University entrance in their last manifesto. Several teachers I know say that teacher assessed grades are likely to be higher than those achieved. I am frankly getting fed up of the fuss made of this issue. What did everyone think would happen with a year when no exams were sit? It was never going to be a straight forward situation to resolve and the fact that the final grades awarded were the highest in 13 years in the top grades show that students were probably given higher grades than would have been achieved by exams. I do sympathise with those who were doing resits and so had no teacher to assess their grade but for the vast majority they have come out with better than they would have got. This was born out by the jubilant scenes when the GCSE results were published.
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Post by danb on Aug 27, 2020 5:15:04 GMT
the historical truth is that they are not accurate which is why Labour wanted to do away with them for University entrance in their last manifesto. Several teachers I know say that teacher assessed grades are likely to be higher than those achieved. I am frankly getting fed up of the fuss made of this issue. What did everyone think would happen with a year when no exams were sit? It was never going to be a straight forward situation to resolve and the fact that the final grades awarded were the highest in 13 years in the top grades show that students were probably given higher grades than would have been achieved by exams. I do sympathise with those who were doing resits and so had no teacher to assess their grade but for the vast majority they have come out with better than they would have got. This was born out by the jubilant scenes when the GCSE results were published. The government (call Ofqual what you want; it’s still just an arm of low tier governance, there to blame so that the actual policy makers get off scot free) had six months to work out what they were going to do and check it would be fair & accurate. They didn’t run their algorithm enough times or deliberately programmed it to create a new tranche of low paid workers to replace the migrant workers Priti is hell bent on kicking out. Either way I reckon six months is enough not to balls it up on the scale that they did.
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Post by theglenbucklaird on Aug 27, 2020 8:40:08 GMT
the historical truth is that they are not accurate which is why Labour wanted to do away with them for University entrance in their last manifesto. Several teachers I know say that teacher assessed grades are likely to be higher than those achieved. I am frankly getting fed up of the fuss made of this issue. What did everyone think would happen with a year when no exams were sit? It was never going to be a straight forward situation to resolve and the fact that the final grades awarded were the highest in 13 years in the top grades show that students were probably given higher grades than would have been achieved by exams. I do sympathise with those who were doing resits and so had no teacher to assess their grade but for the vast majority they have come out with better than they would have got. This was born out by the jubilant scenes when the GCSE results were published. Exam results should be slightly higher this year though. That is correct no?
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Post by Deleted on Aug 27, 2020 9:32:51 GMT
Several teachers I know say that teacher assessed grades are likely to be higher than those achieved. I am frankly getting fed up of the fuss made of this issue. What did everyone think would happen with a year when no exams were sit? It was never going to be a straight forward situation to resolve and the fact that the final grades awarded were the highest in 13 years in the top grades show that students were probably given higher grades than would have been achieved by exams. I do sympathise with those who were doing resits and so had no teacher to assess their grade but for the vast majority they have come out with better than they would have got. This was born out by the jubilant scenes when the GCSE results were published. Exam results should be slightly higher this year though. That is correct no? The difference comes in as assessed grades are reflecting the ability of a student without any possible issues. In reality there are some who make uncharacteristic errors, crumble under pressure and so on. It wouldn’t be fair to assign that effect to random students, so assessed grades reflect their ability without those pressures. It brings into question the nature of examinations as a means of assessment, to be honest. Examinations are not assessing ability, they are assessing how students fare in examinations.
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Post by talkingheads on Aug 27, 2020 10:42:03 GMT
Exam results should be slightly higher this year though. That is correct no? The difference comes in as assessed grades are reflecting the ability of a student without any possible issues. In reality there are some who make uncharacteristic errors, crumble under pressure and so on. It wouldn’t be fair to assign that effect to random students, so assessed grades reflect their ability without those pressures. It brings into question the nature of examinations as a means of assessment, to be honest. Examinations are not assessing ability, they are assessing how students fare in examinations. Exams are a memory test, no more. Nothing to do with ability as you say. I could memorise a list of French words, wouldn't make me fluent.
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Post by Deal J on Aug 27, 2020 13:42:01 GMT
The difference comes in as assessed grades are reflecting the ability of a student without any possible issues. In reality there are some who make uncharacteristic errors, crumble under pressure and so on. It wouldn’t be fair to assign that effect to random students, so assessed grades reflect their ability without those pressures. It brings into question the nature of examinations as a means of assessment, to be honest. Examinations are not assessing ability, they are assessing how students fare in examinations. Exams are a memory test, no more. Nothing to do with ability as you say. I could memorise a list of French words, wouldn't make me fluent.That wouldn't 'make' you pass a French exam either!
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Post by Deleted on Aug 27, 2020 15:07:49 GMT
The difference comes in as assessed grades are reflecting the ability of a student without any possible issues. In reality there are some who make uncharacteristic errors, crumble under pressure and so on. It wouldn’t be fair to assign that effect to random students, so assessed grades reflect their ability without those pressures. It brings into question the nature of examinations as a means of assessment, to be honest. Examinations are not assessing ability, they are assessing how students fare in examinations. Exams are a memory test, no more. Nothing to do with ability as you say. I could memorise a list of French words, wouldn't make me fluent. None of my exams were a memory test. We were expected to have a few technical terms memorised, obviously, but the point of the exams was to test understanding of the subject. So for maths we were given a booklet of formulae because we were being tested on our understanding of knowing which formula to use and how to apply it to a given problem, for chemistry we would be told the necessary facts in the question ("if the atomic weight of a carbon atom is 12..."), for history we'd be given information about an event and be asked to write about its implications, and so on. None of the exams were probing our ability to function in an alternate universe where reference books had never been invented. Exams aren't perfect, but nothing is. Every method of evaluation is going to be better for some people and worse for others, and at least exams don't test the pupils' ability to ask someone else to do the work for them.
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Post by n1david on Aug 27, 2020 22:22:49 GMT
I did very well out of exams, but not everyone does, and there is an argument that coursework is a better test of how someone might perform in the workplace (given that when working one is constantly adjusting behaviour, and you are rarely forced to sit down and say what you know for three hours).
The best way of evaluating surely has to be a mix of both exams and coursework - neither are perfect but we need young people who are more than exam-taking machines. If this year's A-level students had had two years of coursework behind them, there would have been a lot more data to feed into an algorithm.
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Post by Someone in a tree on Sept 2, 2020 12:36:43 GMT
And another u turn after saying yesterday that it was safe to relax lockdown in the greater Manchester area. This and the fact BJ won't visit families of bereaved relatives just makes this government so favourable at the ballot box
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Post by lynette on Sept 6, 2020 12:14:49 GMT
A close friend is getting married today: her mum, his dad, his sister and her kids, her brother and his lot, an aunt and a couple of cousins, masks, social distancing, no party or gathering. They will make it lovely and surround the couple with affection. But on the way home on Friday we passed a club/ pub with about two hundred people heaving outside and on the pavement, not a mask in sight, social distancing, what's that? And I realised what I had long suspected that when the reckoning comes, and it will, in the form of economic collapse, another pandemic , climate catastrophe, the rise of fascism , then the predominant characteristic of humanity will be confirmed as selfishness.
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Post by NeilVHughes on Sept 6, 2020 12:32:44 GMT
Remember reading somewhere that there is a 50 year macro economic cycle* and have a feeling we are entering the economics and the subsequent social issues of the 70’s and going further back the 20’s and we all know how these decades ended.
Increasing unemployment, increasing social unrest and sadly the polarising of and victimisation of minorities, the only thing missing at the moment is rising inflation but a No Deal Brexit and the subsequent tariffs could give us that.
The Conservatives could be in the same position as Labour were in the late 70’s and could become unelectable for a generation.
*Edit: Kondratiev waves
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Post by lynette on Sept 6, 2020 12:36:57 GMT
Interesting but we can’t repeat the 70s though in many ways that might be better than what is to come. Democracy is a slippery guy/gal but back in the 70s there was a different feel about things, plenty of unrest, plenty of hardship but the idea that it would be a good thing to destroy society had not yet taken hold. It has now.
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Post by theglenbucklaird on Sept 6, 2020 15:14:21 GMT
Remember reading somewhere that there is a 50 year macro economic cycle * and have a feeling we are entering the economics and the subsequent social issues of the 70’s and going further back the 20’s and we all know how these decades ended. Increasing unemployment, increasing social unrest and sadly the polarising of and victimisation of minorities, the only thing missing at the moment is rising inflation but a No Deal Brexit and the subsequent tariffs could give us that. The Conservatives could be in the same position as Labour were in the late 70’s and could become unelectable for a generation. *Edit: Kondratiev waves Behave yourself, we are a nation of conservatives
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