311 posts
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Post by showoff on Dec 13, 2019 11:35:52 GMT
I wonder what the effect will be on theatre. I am from abroad and for over 30 years I have been visting London, 3/4 times a year to see new shows. The whole brexit issue has made an impact on me and from the moment I need a visa to get in, I will stop visiting London. Then I will shift focus to New York. I wonder what the effect of brexit will be on London theatre economics. Will you not need a Visa to go to New York though?
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311 posts
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Post by olliebean on Dec 13, 2019 11:39:28 GMT
I know it looks like a decent part of the country is finally united in one way (which hasn’t happened in a long time) It really doesn't. The Tory vote is 43.6% (with one seat left to declare), which gets them a massive majority of seats because of our stupid first past the post system, but certainly doesn't amount to a majority of the country being united. Unless you meant the approx. 2/3 who were united against Corbyn.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2019 11:50:11 GMT
I know it looks like a decent part of the country is finally united in one way (which hasn’t happened in a long time) It really doesn't. The Tory vote is 43.6% (with one seat left to declare), which gets them a massive majority of seats because of our stupid first past the post system, but certainly doesn't amount to a majority of the country being united. Unless you meant the approx. 2/3 who were united against Corbyn. The divide is clear, although Parliament does not now reflect that divide, so the likelihood is that the debate and action will move away from Parliament. On the result, it's what I feared, horrible flashbacks to the 1980's as Labour loses touch with voters allowing the Conservatives to push to the right. Although a number of Lib Dems are now in a winnable second place most fell agonisingly short, the concern for Labour must be in how far back they are now in seats that they need to win to have any chance of even getting to a hung parliament. One bright note was that my constituency (Halifax) showed a much smaller swing than most areas of less than 3% and tactical voting seems to have made a difference.
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2,702 posts
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Post by viserys on Dec 13, 2019 11:52:48 GMT
from the moment I need a visa to get in, I will stop visiting London. Then I will shift focus to New York. That is a really bizarre stance. Even if a visa will be happening, which I strongly doubt, it will certainly not be more expensive than the $14 ESTA visa for the US. And assuming you're in the EU, everything else - flight to New York, Broadway ticket prices, will be way more expensive than London. Sounds like you're throwing the rattle out of the pram out of spite. I love London, I have visited London regularly for thirty years now and I will not abandon my favourite theatre city when they may need me most (well, foreign visitors/theatre-goers, I'm sure they can do without me personally, haha). I've also met many lovely people across the UK, not least here on this board and none of them were in support of Brexit and I know the same is true for most of the arts sector, so why should I "punish" them by staying away. And when all is said and done, I still rather support the UK than Trumpistan with my business (although I pretty much feel the same about him/them - lots of shrieking "I won't visit the US while Trump is in charge!" and thus punishing the very liberal anti-Trump arts in New York City which won't impress him one bit). Off my soapbox now. I don't think Brexit as such will make much of an impact. The only thing that could happen is that the pound will rise sharply, thus making everything more expensive for us continentals and thus maybe thinking twice about trips to the UK.
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53 posts
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Post by chess on Dec 13, 2019 12:13:11 GMT
Let me clarify my point. I love london, my main focus has been London, and I have spent a great part of my budget on London trips. I am rather convinced that I will look for other options. That has nothing to do with the costs of visa, it has evetything to do with the fact that I will have a different feeling towards the UK. It’s becoming a ‘foreign’ country. I have never been to New York because I always preferred London because it was so easy. I really think this is the moment for me to try new things like new york. As I have said I am a visitor of London for ages. In that time I have see a big change. From an old fashioned city it has become an exciting and thrilling place, in part thanks to the all the immigrants/visitors (tnx to the EU), I am afraid London will become less attractive. I wasn’t really impressed by the London from 1986. So I definetly will change my focus, as a matter of fact I have already canceled a trip. But that’s my personal view.
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Post by londonpostie on Dec 13, 2019 12:19:57 GMT
I need a visa to go to the USA, doesn't seen entirely unreasonable.
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2,702 posts
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Post by viserys on Dec 13, 2019 12:44:28 GMT
I need a visa to go to the USA, doesn't seen entirely unreasonable. If you're a British citizen, you don't need a visa. You are part of the visa-waiver ESTA programme that's more like a pre-arrival clearance thing. And it could in theory be free, but they like to charge $14 which was supposed to support the US tourism industry. I could see something similar happen here post-Brexit, but $14 every two years wouldn't break the bank all things considered. I assume though that they will wrangle something free as they do with other European nations outside the EU, that will stamp your passport for free. Even many countries far outside Europe let people enter for free.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2019 12:50:12 GMT
A couple of other divisions that will now be the focus of attention and action.
The Union is under threat, maybe after hundreds of years to be brought down by a temporary tiff with Europe. Scotland looks lost, Ireland on the way, Wales would surely follow. I've long thought that the different nations should resolve into a looser federal system and maybe it will take the offer of that to keep the Union together. Without that sort of offer then hundreds of years of united achievement will be just history.
A much more knotty problem, the age war. It used to be class that divided the country but not in the last decade. The big divide in voting is age, young labour, old conservative. I never believed there would be a rising up on class lines but the prospect of the young fighting back against old voters who are dictating their future? It seems, at this point in time, to be more likely to me. Even if a government tries to do something it will still be old voters dictating to young voters. If I was looking for a flashpoint over the next few years that's where I'd suggest.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2019 13:07:52 GMT
It’s an interesting thought, and on the flip side, I wonder what the impact on free movement had on west end sales? It’s no secret the west end relies on tourism. I don’t think people will stop visiting the UK, but I’d expect some form of impact. Very little, I think. The Middle classes moved around easily before we joined the EEC and will presumably continue to do so, and the UK will be a cheap destination.. The idea of visiting a foreign country for leisure wasn’t necessarily accessible to the masses prior to joint the EEC. Yes, some rich folk could achieve it in the 1960s, but international travel wasn’t the norm. Theatre has moved beyond being something only the middle classes can afford and prior to the 1980s the idea of a long term long running show was alien - which I assume means there wasn’t enough tourists to support them in the same way they do now (among other factors behind a long runner, and yes, I’m ignoring The Mousetrap). So I suppose I was just questioning if the impact of EU membership on west end sales over the decades rather than suggesting a drop in sales as a result of Brexit.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2019 13:22:34 GMT
I know it looks like a decent part of the country is finally united in one way (which hasn’t happened in a long time) It really doesn't. The Tory vote is 43.6% (with one seat left to declare), which gets them a massive majority of seats because of our stupid first past the post system, but certainly doesn't amount to a majority of the country being united. Unless you meant the approx. 2/3 who were united against Corbyn. Please don’t twist my words into something that allows you to call out yet another result you’re not happy with. 43.6% of people is a decent part of the country. I never mentioned a majority or the number of seats. The full sentence, that you’ve only quoted part of, actually concludes by suggesting the Tory win increases the divide between parliament and the electorate.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2019 13:27:29 GMT
What happened last night was probably what people thought should have happened in 2017. The Labour Party has a long way back having been wiped out in a lot of areas. There are some seats that they will win back but with the SNP having a strong hold in Scotland and parties not contesting the 18 or so NI seats. Labour will be hard pressed to win well over 300 seats in England and Wales alone.
People calling for JC to resign immediately doesn't make sense as with their Deputy Leader having stood down to leave the Party totally leaderless with an un elected interim put in place would make matters worse. I don't see how JC can stay on for any length but let the party take stock over Xmas and New Year and then hold a spring leadership election to fill the two top jobs.
The Party may have moved so far to the left that their rump doesn't want to go back to the more centrist left ground and after they have suffered big election defeats the remainder of any party tends to be the more hardcore element.
Hopefully Brexit can now be delivered and we have a broad One Nation Conservative Government who can take us forward.
There will be calls for another Scottish Referendum but the way Sturgeon and co did all they could to block Brexit I don't see Boris allowing them another vote any time soon.
I was sad to see Dennis Skinner lose his seat after 49 years as although my politics are very different from his, I respected him for his principles and he was hugely entertaining to watch in Parliament.
Jo Swinson losing her seat was funny and I'm not making any further Jungle jokes but their is a rumour that she and Anna Soubry are trying to get a last minute panto gig as the Ugly Sisters in a production of Cinderella.
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573 posts
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Post by Dave25 on Dec 13, 2019 13:33:56 GMT
The real outcome of this election: the Leave/Remain share of the vote is as follows:
▪️Leave 47%
▪️Remain 53%
And a vast majority of the people voting against the Conservatives. The number of votes for Labour and Libdems combined is already towering above the number of votes for Conservatives. And then I'm not even counting the SNP and other parties.
It's amazing how flawed this seat system is. Resulting in seats that do not represent the will of the people.
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311 posts
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Post by olliebean on Dec 13, 2019 14:03:51 GMT
It really doesn't. The Tory vote is 43.6% (with one seat left to declare), which gets them a massive majority of seats because of our stupid first past the post system, but certainly doesn't amount to a majority of the country being united. Unless you meant the approx. 2/3 who were united against Corbyn. Please don’t twist my words into something that allows you to call out yet another result you’re not happy with. 43.6% of people is a decent part of the country. I never mentioned a majority or the number of seats. The full sentence, that you’ve only quoted part of, actually concludes by suggesting the Tory win increases the divide between parliament and the electorate. I'm not sure what point you were making, then, because the Tory vote in 2017 was 42.4% - was that not a decent part of the country? On that basis, I doubt there's ever not been a decent part of the country united behind one thing or another. The country as a whole is still very divided, though, and this election certainly hasn't helped with that.
(I apologise for not quoting you in full btw; my intention was brevity, not distortion.)
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311 posts
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Post by olliebean on Dec 13, 2019 14:12:52 GMT
The real outcome of this election: the Leave/Remain share of the vote is as follows: ▪️Leave 47% ▪️Remain 53% And a vast majority of the people voting against the Conservatives. The number of votes for Labour and Libdems combined is already towering above the number of votes for Conservatives. And then I'm not even counting the SNP and other parties. It's amazing how flawed this seat system is. Resulting in seats that do not represent the will of the people. Labour + Lib-Dem is "towering" above the Conservatives by only 0.1%. And although it's probable Labour's second referendum would have resulted in a Remain win, you can't call them an unambiguously Remain party. Much as I'd love this result to be an indication of a 6% majority for Remain, I don't think it's that clear cut.
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Post by theglenbucklaird on Dec 13, 2019 14:40:20 GMT
What happened last night was probably what people thought should have happened in 2017. The Labour Party has a long way back having been wiped out in a lot of areas. There are some seats that they will win back but with the SNP having a strong hold in Scotland and parties not contesting the 18 or so NI seats. Labour will be hard pressed to win well over 300 seats in England and Wales alone. People calling for JC to resign immediately doesn't make sense as with their Deputy Leader having stood down to leave the Party totally leaderless with an un elected interim put in place would make matters worse. I don't see how JC can stay on for any length but let the party take stock over Xmas and New Year and then hold a spring leadership election to fill the two top jobs. The Party may have moved so far to the left that their rump doesn't want to go back to the more centrist left ground and after they have suffered big election defeats the remainder of any party tends to be the more hardcore element. Hopefully Brexit can now be delivered and we have a broad One Nation Conservative Government who can take us forward. There will be calls for another Scottish Referendum but the way Sturgeon and co did all they could to block Brexit I don't see Boris allowing them another vote any time soon. I was sad to see Dennis Skinner lose his seat after 49 years as although my politics are very different from his, I respected him for his principles and he was hugely entertaining to watch in Parliament. Jo Swinson losing her seat was funny and I'm not making any further Jungle jokes but their is a rumour that she and Anna Soubry are trying to get a last minute panto gig as the Ugly Sisters in a production of Cinderella. I don't think that is quite true. I immediately thought the same I will admit. Johnson for (at least) ten years does feel abhorrent. But I think the Labour party could win back lots of the seats lost in the Midlands and North East in particular. Don't think they won a seat with a referendum result of vote Leave >55%. But they lost seats votes predominantly to the Brexit party, with small percentages to Tory, Lib Dem and SNP. These votes could be up for grabs again at the next election. We will have to see who takes over the Labour Party and the state of the UK after five more years of Boris. Five years could seem a very long time in some of the poorest constituencies in the country if some of the Brexit warnings come true. Think I heard a stat that the Tory vote only went up 1.42% with massive swings to their party. So there could be lots to play for at the next election. Have to see where we are in five years time.
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Post by londonpostie on Dec 13, 2019 15:00:12 GMT
The real outcome of this election: the Leave/Remain share of the vote is as follows: ▪️Leave 47% ▪️Remain 53% And a vast majority of the people voting against the Conservatives. The number of votes for Labour and Libdems combined is already towering above the number of votes for Conservatives. And then I'm not even counting the SNP and other parties. It's amazing how flawed this seat system is. Resulting in seats that do not represent the will of the people. The will of the people as expressed in the referendum?
It seems the percentages and the polling and the marching and the online petitions all indicate 'remain' until it comes to am actual ballot box?
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5,062 posts
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Post by Phantom of London on Dec 13, 2019 15:22:19 GMT
What happened last night was probably what people thought should have happened in 2017. The Labour Party has a long way back having been wiped out in a lot of areas. There are some seats that they will win back but with the SNP having a strong hold in Scotland and parties not contesting the 18 or so NI seats. Labour will be hard pressed to win well over 300 seats in England and Wales alone. People calling for JC to resign immediately doesn't make sense as with their Deputy Leader having stood down to leave the Party totally leaderless with an un elected interim put in place would make matters worse. I don't see how JC can stay on for any length but let the party take stock over Xmas and New Year and then hold a spring leadership election to fill the two top jobs. The Party may have moved so far to the left that their rump doesn't want to go back to the more centrist left ground and after they have suffered big election defeats the remainder of any party tends to be the more hardcore element. Hopefully Brexit can now be delivered and we have a broad One Nation Conservative Government who can take us forward. There will be calls for another Scottish Referendum but the way Sturgeon and co did all they could to block Brexit I don't see Boris allowing them another vote any time soon. I was sad to see Dennis Skinner lose his seat after 49 years as although my politics are very different from his, I respected him for his principles and he was hugely entertaining to watch in Parliament. Jo Swinson losing her seat was funny and I'm not making any further Jungle jokes but their is a rumour that she and Anna Soubry are trying to get a last minute panto gig as the Ugly Sisters in a production of Cinderella. Wow, that last paragraph is out and out nasty.
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5,062 posts
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Post by Phantom of London on Dec 13, 2019 15:29:26 GMT
What happened last night was probably what people thought should have happened in 2017. The Labour Party has a long way back having been wiped out in a lot of areas. There are some seats that they will win back but with the SNP having a strong hold in Scotland and parties not contesting the 18 or so NI seats. Labour will be hard pressed to win well over 300 seats in England and Wales alone. People calling for JC to resign immediately doesn't make sense as with their Deputy Leader having stood down to leave the Party totally leaderless with an un elected interim put in place would make matters worse. I don't see how JC can stay on for any length but let the party take stock over Xmas and New Year and then hold a spring leadership election to fill the two top jobs. The Party may have moved so far to the left that their rump doesn't want to go back to the more centrist left ground and after they have suffered big election defeats the remainder of any party tends to be the more hardcore element. Hopefully Brexit can now be delivered and we have a broad One Nation Conservative Government who can take us forward. There will be calls for another Scottish Referendum but the way Sturgeon and co did all they could to block Brexit I don't see Boris allowing them another vote any time soon. I was sad to see Dennis Skinner lose his seat after 49 years as although my politics are very different from his, I respected him for his principles and he was hugely entertaining to watch in Parliament. Jo Swinson losing her seat was funny and I'm not making any further Jungle jokes but their is a rumour that she and Anna Soubry are trying to get a last minute panto gig as the Ugly Sisters in a production of Cinderella. Wow, that last paragraph is out and out nasty. As Boris Johnston said that if the Conservative Party doesn’t leave the EU, the Brexit vote will be split between the Tories and the Brexit party and Labour will win the general election. The exact opposite happened yesterday, with the remain vote split between Labour and the Libs, with the Conservatives. Coming straight through the middle and victorious.
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311 posts
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Post by olliebean on Dec 13, 2019 15:31:47 GMT
I don't think that is quite true. I immediately thought the same I will admit. Johnson for (at least) ten years does feel abhorrent. But I think the Labour party could win back lots of the seats lost in the Midlands and North East in particular. Don't think they won a seat with a referendum result of vote Leave >55%. But they lost seats votes predominantly to the Brexit party, with small percentages to Tory, Lib Dem and SNP. These votes could be up for grabs again at the next election. We will have to see who takes over the Labour Party and the state of the UK after five more years of Boris. Five years could seem a very long time in some of the poorest constituencies in the country if some of the Brexit warnings come true. Think I heard a stat that the Tory vote only went up 1.42% with massive swings to their party. So there could be lots to play for at the next election. Have to see where we are in five years time. My worry is that where we'll be in five years will be with Labour's chance of winning anything back much reduced through gerrymandering changes to the constituency boundaries. Fully expecting the Tories to bring in this, voter ID, and anything else they can think of to minimise the chance of a democratic win for anyone else.
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Post by intoanewlife on Dec 13, 2019 15:37:54 GMT
They are allowed to choose and most of them choose to wear the burka of the own free will.
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573 posts
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Post by Dave25 on Dec 13, 2019 15:40:28 GMT
Labour + Lib-Dem is "towering" above the Conservatives by only 0.1%. I still think it's peculiar that when you have a majority of voters voting against Conservatives (so a minority for Conservatives), or basically, more votes for the opposition, the Conservatives can win so much seats with a minority vote. This system is totally wrong in my opinion. Now we have the majority of the country disappointed. And stuck with a government that a minority voted for.
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573 posts
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Post by Dave25 on Dec 13, 2019 15:50:10 GMT
" until it comes to am actual ballot box?"
Given the fact that a majority of all voters voted anti Conservatives I would say it reflects the polling, the marching and the online petitions. It's just the seat system that is extremely flawed, as it results in the opposite of what a majority of the country wants.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2019 15:51:52 GMT
What happened last night was probably what people thought should have happened in 2017. The Labour Party has a long way back having been wiped out in a lot of areas. There are some seats that they will win back but with the SNP having a strong hold in Scotland and parties not contesting the 18 or so NI seats. Labour will be hard pressed to win well over 300 seats in England and Wales alone. People calling for JC to resign immediately doesn't make sense as with their Deputy Leader having stood down to leave the Party totally leaderless with an un elected interim put in place would make matters worse. I don't see how JC can stay on for any length but let the party take stock over Xmas and New Year and then hold a spring leadership election to fill the two top jobs. The Party may have moved so far to the left that their rump doesn't want to go back to the more centrist left ground and after they have suffered big election defeats the remainder of any party tends to be the more hardcore element. Hopefully Brexit can now be delivered and we have a broad One Nation Conservative Government who can take us forward. There will be calls for another Scottish Referendum but the way Sturgeon and co did all they could to block Brexit I don't see Boris allowing them another vote any time soon. I was sad to see Dennis Skinner lose his seat after 49 years as although my politics are very different from his, I respected him for his principles and he was hugely entertaining to watch in Parliament. Jo Swinson losing her seat was funny and I'm not making any further Jungle jokes but their is a rumour that she and Anna Soubry are trying to get a last minute panto gig as the Ugly Sisters in a production of Cinderella. Wow, that last paragraph is out and out nasty. The last paragraph is a joke. Neither lady is ugly but they are called the Ugly Sisters in panto. Some places call them wicked Stepsisters when they are played by females. There was a similar joke about the House of York offering themselves up as a Panto Package as Baron Hardup, the Wicked Stepmother and the Ugly Sisters. There is a great meme going around of Jo Swinson in the window of the 2nd hand shop from the Bagpuss TV series which might amuse people.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2019 15:53:48 GMT
Wow, that last paragraph is out and out nasty. As Boris Johnston said that if the Conservative Party doesn’t leave the EU, the Brexit vote will be split between the Tories and the Brexit party and Labour will win the general election. The exact opposite happened yesterday, with the remain vote split between Labour and the Libs, with the Conservatives. Coming straight through the middle and victorious. The Brexit Party potentially took votes away from Labour in seats they stood in if people couldn't bring themselves to vote Tory so voted for a more right wing party.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2019 15:55:06 GMT
They are allowed to choose and most of them choose to wear the burka of the own free will. Boris with burkas, JC with the Jewish issue and Swinson lost her seat!
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