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Brexit
Jul 11, 2018 13:50:09 GMT
Post by Jan on Jul 11, 2018 13:50:09 GMT
Running a frankly racist immigration policy in which overwhelmingly white immigrants from Eastern Europe are allowed free entry whereas overwhelmingly non-white immigration from the Commonwealth countries like India and the West Indies is restricted - even if the applicants have family ties - is not any sort of best possible world There is a misconception that these two facts are connected. EU policy allows us to have our own immigration policy for non-EU citizens. There was a widely quoted belief prior to the referendum that leaving the EU would “allow” more Commonwealth immigration, but that was significantly reduced by the Coalition government unconnected with any EU policy. I have been involved for many years in bringing skilled workers into the UK and it became significantly more difficult to bring in workers from the Indian subcontinent after 2010. If the UK government wanted lots of skilled non-white workers to come to Britain, they could have allowed it without us leaving the EU. I am aware of that. What I am pointing out is the unbalanced nature of the rules. If the UK wanted to impose the same rules on immigration from East Europe as they currently impose on Commonwealth immigration they couldn't. Currently the rules are different based effectively on race. The only way to balance them currently, as you point out, would be to have open borders to the world.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 11, 2018 14:21:06 GMT
Working in education drives home how people become prone to being drawn in by narratives and you get to see how, at a key stage in life, there is already a vast difference between a majority who think critically about what they are told and a minority who parrot what you tell them. Students who do well do the former, poor students, who get found out in the end, do the latter. The key takeaway, however, is that the vast majority are not like that, they listen, they think, they respond in an intelligent way.
So why is the subject so contentious and seemingly unsettled? Well, with Brexit most people felt that they had to engage but the 'debate' was pathetic and facts were trampled on by emotions. Yes, that latter group didn't really understand what they were voting on because they relied on others to tell them but they are a minority. The big problem was the the majority were also stuffed because the level of debate never gave them a chance to engage at an intelligent level. This is why we are now looking at decades of strife, not the vote itself but the way that people were not sufficiently apprised of the issues and their potential impact.
n.b. As exhibit number one for the credulous minority look at the monstrosity in the White House. How he parrots exact lines from Fox News would be hilarious if it wasn't so chilling.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 11, 2018 17:32:39 GMT
Currently the rules are different based effectively on race. The only way to balance them currently, as you point out, would be to have open borders to the world. No, they're not - they're based on nationality. The two concepts are not the same (although they may well be in many cases), and to conflate them is a gross over-simplification of this issue. The very benefit of past migration and modern multiculturalism is that nationality is not equivalent to racial homogeneity. To say that EU immigration policy is racist ignores all of that. No country in the world has an immigration policy that gives equal treatment to all, and every country has favourable visa arrangements with some of its best friends - the EU Schengen area and the lack of visas required currently by British citizens visiting Europe are but two examples of that. I was in Zimbabwe recently and my visa was much more expensive than the Americans I was travelling with, but I had more visa options than the Canadians. There is often little rhyme or reason to the visa rules - it's just politics. And because it's just politics, there is absolutely nothing to say that the situation will change in the slightest post-Brexit. I wouldn't be surprised at all if the ease of getting a UK visa will be more straightforward for European visitors than those who currently have more difficulties. That won't change anything in terms of perceived equality between nations, because it simply doesn't and will never exist anywhere in terms of entry requirements.
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Brexit
Jul 17, 2018 13:50:14 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jul 17, 2018 13:50:14 GMT
Lots more Brexit-based action today as it unsurprisingly turns out Vote Leave broke laws during the referendum campaign.
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Brexit
Jul 17, 2018 14:04:30 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Jul 17, 2018 14:04:30 GMT
The public were misled by the Tories saying we would save the NHS by exiting the EU. Now it’s in an even worse state than it was before.
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Brexit
Jul 17, 2018 14:14:07 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jul 17, 2018 14:14:07 GMT
But what consequences will there be? I see that Darren Grimes has been fined, but I can't help but remember something I read recently that said "'punishable by fine' just means 'legal for rich people'." I don't know about Grimes's personal wealth, so maybe it will count as a legitimate punishment for him, but what about the higher-ups who facilitated him? Who is there to hold these people to account for running an illegal campaign? I very much fear that nothing practical or concrete will come of these findings whatsoever.
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Brexit
Jul 17, 2018 14:18:58 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jul 17, 2018 14:18:58 GMT
The public were misled by the Tories saying we would save the NHS by exiting the EU. Now it’s in an even worse state than it was before. Vote Leave wasn't just the Conservatives though. All MPs from all parties who supported that campaign are equally responsible.
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Post by foxa on Jul 17, 2018 14:39:57 GMT
Bloomin' Brexit. I think the Cardinal above is right - the referendum question itself was flawed.
If say, there was a referendum about (god forbid) capital punishment - people would understand what they were voting for and know that it could be achieved. If they voted to reinstate capital punishment, they would know that, although there might be a discussion about injections versus firing squad (or whatever) it is something that could be done. There wouldn't be a hard execution or a soft execution, or a knock on effect on borders, peace agreements, jobs, food, security, etc. Just a dead person at the end of it.
I voted Remain, but I also understand that some people voted Leave thinking it could be easily and painlessly achieved - after all, why would they have let it go to referendum if it couldn't? But they did. I read tonnes before the vote and didn't even hear the Irish border issues mentioned or the difficulty in quickly delivering goods through ports (though weirdly did hear a lot about longer queues at airports and more expensive mobile phone fees - the bloomin' Remain campaign sometimes made it sound like it would just be a little holiday inconvenience) or international security or participation in EU science initiatives. So if I, as someone who does read and was inclined to Remain, didn't know much about those issues why should we expect everyone else, especially those leaning to Leave, to? My mother-in-law remembered a simpler, happier time and she voted to Leave to return to that. As sad as I was with the result, I actually thought there would be some plan to make it work - I have been floored by the irresponsibility of not having any sort of framework in place.
And for both the EU referendum and my imaginary (god forbid) capital punishment referendum above, I think most people vote on gut instinct. People are busy living their lives and aren't suddenly going to become trade experts or immigration lawyers. They will have an emotional reaction to something or a tribal connection to someone or something or want to stick it to the man or whatever and go with that.
What did Danny Dyer called it? A magical riddle? That's how I feel - I don't actually see any clear way out of this mess now.
Ugh. Politics.
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Brexit
Jul 17, 2018 16:20:41 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jul 17, 2018 16:20:41 GMT
To give her at least some credit, at least May is trying to create some sort of solution that might lead to the least strife; unfortunately she diesn’t have the numbers to follow it through and, even if she did, she’s had to ignore concerns from the other half of the equation to even sidle up to this impasse, birthing some sort of unviable chimera that is destined to die a painful, early death.
I cannot see any way forward.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 17, 2018 17:04:35 GMT
There seem to be many people who thought that a "leave" result meant that they would get the Brexit they personally wanted. My father and stepmother keep banging on about how the government is failing to deliver what was promised, and they simply can't grasp the fact that those promises were made by the Leave campaign, which wasn't in power, would not be in power, and was in no position to promise anything.
Nevertheless, the Leave campaign promised the moon on a stick and now people want to know why the government hasn't delivered their moon lollipop.
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Post by sf on Jul 17, 2018 20:16:37 GMT
Part of the problem is that our education system, at all levels, has done a spectacularly terrible job of teaching how the EU works - what it does, what it doesn't do, how legislation gets introduced and passed, how the veto works, what the ECJ is for, and all the rest of it. That made it very easy, once the referendum campaign got underway, for Vote Leave to spin absolute garbage about Rules Being Imposed By A Corrupt Monolithic Bureaucracy. It also made it very easy for the Leave campaign(s) to encourage voters to make the EU a convenient scapegoat for all their frustrations. Wages are stagnating because too many Polish people are coming over and driving them down! (Not true, and EU migrants make a positive net contribution to the economy). There's a five-hour wait at A&E because too many immigrants are clogging up the system! (Not true, there's a five-hour wait at A&E because of years of austerity cuts). The local primary school is oversubscribed because there are too many immigrants! (Not precisely true, the local primary school is probably oversubscribed because LEAs have traditionally been very bad indeed at planning for demographic changes - and once schools are taken out of LEAs to become free schools or academies, that kind of planning more or less goes out of the window). There's a two-year waiting list (if you're lucky) for a council house because immigrants jump the queue! (Not true, there's a two-year wait for a council house because Thatcher introduced Right to Buy and the money raised from it was not invested back into replenishing the social housing stock). And so on.
NOBODY is going to get the "Brexit they voted for", because there are as many versions of that as there are people who voted for it. And in the meantime, a spineless PM and an equally spineless opposition appear, between them, to have backed Parliament into a corner, and both the government and the opposition seem to be perfectly prepared to throw very slightly under half the electorate under a bus, which is going to leave a lot of people - me included - feeling politically homeless. I don't see a way out without another public vote of some kind - and even after that, the referendum created huge divisions, and created them very quickly (EU membership was not a talking-point at all at the 2010 General Election), and I don't see any way forward that will lessen those divisions.
And the fact that we were led down this road in the first place simply in order to appease a gaggle of foaming-at-the-mouth back-benchers is breathtaking, and should cement Cameron's place in history as the worst PM since Lord North.
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Brexit
Jul 17, 2018 22:15:03 GMT
sf likes this
Post by Deleted on Jul 17, 2018 22:15:03 GMT
I think the division was already there. Our party system, made in another age, just obscured it.
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3,040 posts
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Brexit
Jul 18, 2018 8:34:20 GMT
Post by crowblack on Jul 18, 2018 8:34:20 GMT
both the government and the opposition seem to be perfectly prepared to throw very slightly under half the electorate under a bus Isn't that always the way with our system? Ironic (as someone who used to go to campaign meetings for PR) that we might - who knows? - get some reform to the system now that a vote looks like it may actually affect the lives of the 'middle ground' who are normally pretty well unaffected by whichever Govt is in power.
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Post by kathryn on Jul 18, 2018 10:29:54 GMT
I read tonnes before the vote and didn't even hear the Irish border issues mentioned or the difficulty in quickly delivering goods through ports (though weirdly did hear a lot about longer queues at airports and more expensive mobile phone fees - the bloomin' Remain campaign sometimes made it sound like it would just be a little holiday inconvenience) or international security or participation in EU science initiatives. So if I, as someone who does read and was inclined to Remain, didn't know much about those issues why should we expect everyone else, especially those leaning to Leave, to? Filter bubbles and information silos at work, I think - *I* certainly saw lots of explanation about those particular issues, but then, my dad worked at Ford for 30+ years, so I've heard a bit about manufacturing and the motor industry over the years, I work in academic publishing and so am plugged into networks of people talking about science and research funding, and I follow several Northern Irish people on Twitter who were shouting loudly about the border issue. The thing is, though, when I tried to share any of this knowledge and expertise with leave-leaning relatives it was all ignored in favour of the more-emotive '£350m a week for the NHS' slogan and scare-mongering stories about migrants, Turkey joining, and violence in Calais. They weren't interested in the detailed explanations I was providing - even the very simple 'but we have a VETO on Turkey joining while we're in the EU' didn't get through. Gove was right - people have had enough of experts. People willfully ignore experts when they are telling them things they do not want to hear, and lap up lies and distortions when they pander to their wishes.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 18, 2018 12:28:52 GMT
A poll came out yesterday. One in three would vote for a hard Brexit, given the option of hard, soft or remain. When it was posited as a two way choice between hard Brexit and remain that number was 45%. Within the margin of error of that poll. This is insane. After all of the warnings about the devastation of a hard Brexit, of the government warning about a need to stockpile food, of a collapse in the power grid in Northern Ireland and so on, nearly half of the population would think, yeah, go on then. I need to believe that the message has not got through fully. If it has and they still want this then we are in a very dark place as a nation. www.thetimes.co.uk/article/uncertain-voters-give-labour-a-poll-lead-bc77vwjsw
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Post by kathryn on Jul 18, 2018 12:48:52 GMT
People would rather shoot themselves in the foot than admit that they were wrong or made a bad decision.
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Brexit
Jul 18, 2018 14:56:37 GMT
Post by sf on Jul 18, 2018 14:56:37 GMT
both the government and the opposition seem to be perfectly prepared to throw very slightly under half the electorate under a bus Isn't that always the way with our system? Ironic (as someone who used to go to campaign meetings for PR) that we might - who knows? - get some reform to the system now that a vote looks like it may actually affect the lives of the 'middle ground' who are normally pretty well unaffected by whichever Govt is in power.
It's usually the way after a general election, but this wasn't a general election. This was a binary question with more than two possible ways forward based on a Leave win, some of which do far more damage to our rights than others, and this government has - shamefully - behaved as if the interests of half the electorate, and of British citizens living elsewhere in the EU, are completely irrelevant, even though the distance between the two sides in percentage terms was within the statistical margin of error on an opinion poll.
I do think in the medium term there might be some (very overdue) reform to the system. The plan to restore the vote to UK citizens who've been living outside the country for longer than 15 years unfortunately seems to be dead in the water - indefensibly, because in this particular instance tens of thousands of UK citizens were denied the opportunity to vote on a constitutional change that directly affects their right to continue living in the places they've chosen to build their lives.
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Post by kathryn on Jul 18, 2018 15:18:37 GMT
I do think that there was appalling gerrymandering going on with who was excluded from the vote. The very people most likely to understand the benefits of EU membership and vote to keep them - because they are actively using them! - were not allowed a say in whether they get to keep them or not.
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Brexit
Jul 18, 2018 15:45:03 GMT
via mobile
sf likes this
Post by Deleted on Jul 18, 2018 15:45:03 GMT
When it was posited as a two way choice between hard Brexit and remain that number was 45%. Within the margin of error of that poll. Or to put it another way, given the choice between a hard Brexit and remain, 55% of people would rather remain. Which rather makes the hard Brexiteer MP arguments that the people voted for a hard Brexit and they are therefore representing the will of the people look even more ridiculous...
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Brexit
Jul 18, 2018 15:49:20 GMT
Post by n1david on Jul 18, 2018 15:49:20 GMT
There are a lot of people suggesting that a No Deal Brexit is like the Millennium Bug and it’s a lot of hype over nothing - after all, that worked out ok. Nothing but a scare story!
The difference is that IT companies had been working on fixing the Millennium Bug for at least six years prior to 31/12/99. Millions of dollars were spent in the years prior, to make sure that the Bug didn’t bite.
We’ve got 10 months until a potential No Deal Brexit and no one can do any planning yet.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 18, 2018 16:26:11 GMT
I’ve had the Millennium Bug thing as a justification to me too! Where did that bizarre comparison start? It’s also come to something when global capitalism and the FBI are being looked to as the saviours of liberal democracy.
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Post by n1david on Jul 18, 2018 17:22:25 GMT
One example, true, but everything else... everything works out one way or another in the end, it really does. ...and fewer people died of AIDS in the UK than (for example) in France because of the Government’s communication plan, much criticised at the time as a waste of effort and money. ...and there’s a lot of work going on around the UK on flood protection, caused mainly by changing weather patterns. Sometimes “it works out” because a lot of people are doing hard work pretty invisibly behind the scenes.
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Brexit
Jul 18, 2018 19:35:01 GMT
Post by lynette on Jul 18, 2018 19:35:01 GMT
Interesting how foxa compares the q of capital punishment. It is a good example of why a referendum is problematic. There will never be a ref on capital punishment, I say, because no government could be sure of the answer. And being sure of the answer is the first rule of asking a question, particularly in law and controversial matters. Cameron called a ref without knowing the answer he would get. He thought he knew. Of course. But he didn’t know and so was not prepared for the answer he got. Referenda are not part of the UK's representional parliamentary system of government. We vote for a person who belongs to a party which forms a government in Parliament if they are in the majority. Might not be best way but it is what it is. Introducing a referendum was a mistake and pernicious. I don’t know why this subject of joining with Europe is the only referendum we have been offered, first in the 70s and then now. We were not asked about capital punishment, going to war on any occasion or on anything else. The way forward is a General Election and for that we need an effective opposition. And in the U.K. the Party divisions are breaking down. So what the future holds for our delicate democracy is anyone's guess.
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Brexit
Jul 18, 2018 19:44:23 GMT
Post by theglenbucklaird on Jul 18, 2018 19:44:23 GMT
Interesting how foxa compares the q of capital punishment. It is a good example of why a referendum is problematic. There will never be a ref on capital punishment, I say, because no government could be sure of the answer. And being sure of the answer is the first rule of asking a question, particularly in law and controversial matters. Cameron called a ref without knowing the answer he would get. He thought he knew. Of course. But he didn’t know and so was not prepared for the answer he got. Referenda are not part of the UK's representional parliamentary system of government. We vote for a person who belongs to a party which forms a government in Parliament if they are in the majority. Might not be best way but it is what it is. Introducing a referendum was a mistake and pernicious. I don’t know why this subject of joining with Europe is the only referendum we have been offered, first in the 70s and then now. We were not asked about capital punishment, going to war on any occasion or on anything else. The way forward is a General Election and for that we need an effective opposition. And in the U.K. the Party divisions are breaking down. So what the future holds for our delicate democracy is anyone's guess. Referendum on PR voting and Scottish Independence, north of the border
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Brexit
Jul 18, 2018 19:53:54 GMT
Post by lynette on Jul 18, 2018 19:53:54 GMT
Yes and on gay marriage in Ireland. We need to study all these.
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