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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 0:31:09 GMT
Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2019 0:31:09 GMT
As per John Major today this may be the loophole to nullify the Benn-Act. Orders in Council Orders in Council are made by the Queen acting on the advice of the Privy Council and are approved in person by the monarch. Some, like those that transfer functions between Ministers of the Crown, are made using powers conferred by an Act of Parliament. Others, like those which make appointments to the civil service, are made by virtue of the royal prerogative. Although Orders in Council must be formally approved in person by the monarch, they are drafted and their substance is controlled by the government. This process could be used to bypass Parliament as it only involves the Privy Council and the Queen to modify/introduce legislation. If used it will be Constitutionally explosive as it will directly involve the Queen going against the will of Parliament in stopping a No-Deal Brexit and unprecedented if used this way. We may need a Government of National Unity sooner than we thought if we believe in protecting Parliamentary Sovereignty, the will of law and from my previous analysis the will of the people. The only thing I can see if Johnson continues to consider options like this the Opposition Parties will coalesce around an anodyne Caretaker PM which is the end of him. If this could be done then couldn't Theresa May have done it to get the Brexit bill through. I joked about putting Brexit before the Monarch and get her or whoever to approve it and threaten the likes of Miller and co with treason if they oppose it never thinking it could happen.
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 0:39:50 GMT
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Post by NeilVHughes on Sept 27, 2019 0:39:50 GMT
@brexiteer , this is such a toxic and unprecedented use of the powers maybe she thought it was a step too far, with Johnson difficult to pre guess how far is too far.
This is backed up by some of the front pages today causing fear by stirring up public disorder concerns if he fails to deliver Brexit and Cummings comment, violent acts against MP’s are to be expected if you hamper his Brexit strategy.
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 0:58:45 GMT
Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2019 0:58:45 GMT
@brexiteer , this is such a toxic and unprecedented use of the powers maybe she thought it was a step too far, with Johnson difficult to pre guess how far is too far. This is backed up by some of the front pages today causing fear by stirring up public disorder concerns if he fails to deliver Brexit and Cummings comment, violent acts against MP’s are to be expected if you hamper his Brexit strategy. From what I've read it would be used to delay the Benn Act. If she had used it then it would have given us an orderly exit not a no deal one. Add to your comments Mr Farage rebel rousing too.
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Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2019 7:20:34 GMT
No, it was to advise the government that a slim majority of people who chose to vote wished to leave the European Union. It didn't legislate for anything, and it certainly didn't give any mandate for crashing out of the EU without obtaining a deal. The Article 50 process for leaving the EU is designed to allow time for a deal to be struck, it isn't designed for crashing over the edge of a cliff. The problem was that many Brexiteers seemed to somehow think they could have their cake and eat it, and so dictate how we leave to the EU and not pay the bill. That is not how a negotiation works, that is not how life works and that is not in the best interests of the country. No wonder Parliament had acted to stop such a disaster. What they haven't done though, despite you seemingly trying to imply the contrary, is stop Brexit. But I guess people can't be forced to investigate the truth and learn a bit of constitutional law, if they want to believe the rhetoric and lies then that's up to each individual. The bottom line is that Parliament is simply using the very powers that the Leave campaign trumpeted in the first place, and the fact that the very same Brexiteers are now deriding them for it is frankly the height of hypocrisy. The result of the referendum was the leave the European Union. A one-line response doesn't really contribute much to the debate. Unless of course it means you either didn't bother to read my post (in which case I'd appreciate it if you actually did before repeating the same response ad nauseum) or else you simply don't have an argument in response, which speaks for itself. You're entirely welcome to bury your head in the sand and not actually think about the details if you want to, that's your prerogative, but if you want to actually have a reasoned debate and even try to give people an opportunity to understand your point of view then you're going to have to do better than that.
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 7:58:59 GMT
Post by duncan on Sept 27, 2019 7:58:59 GMT
We vote for Labour in the next election, Which would be an even worse choice than we have at the moment - Labour are led by a rabid pro-Brexiter and most of their MPs come from Brexit supporting constituencies. The vile Corbyn is waffling at the moment as he can sense being PM but he'd be an utter disaster as he's far more pro leaving the EU than Boris.
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Post by NeilVHughes on Sept 27, 2019 8:05:56 GMT
To continue my analysis, I will now look at how the Parties voted for the final reading of May’s Withdrawal Bill
Overall - 344 Against - 286 For
To Pass with a one vote majority the Bill would need to be accepted by 316 MP’s and therefore it needed 30 additional MP’s to vote for the Bill
For: - Conservatives: 277 - Labour: 5 - Independents: 4
Against: - Conservative: 34 (with 3 Abstentions) - DUP: 10 - Others: 300*
*I can split it by Party if Requested and have only included the Governments voting pattern in detail.
The Government made up of Conservative and DUP members the Government had a sitting majority at the time to introduce the Bill.
Therefore, the Bill was not passed because 47 Conservative and DUP MP’s voted against or abstained.
With the support of the Labour and Independent votes for the Bill it can be argued in this case the sitting majority is higher and it almost cancels out the DUP switch (1 MP) which is understandable due to the impact of the Deal on Northern Ireland, even though you could ask what the Government got for their £9B.
At the moment the Opposition Parties are being vilified for stopping Brexit, if we look at the above figures these Parties were not a large enough Group to stop the Deal and therefore as it is implied are keeping us within the EU against the ‘will of the people’.
The reason why we are in this position is the split within the Conservative Party, the primary Party for driving us to leave the EU, they had a majority to get us out by the 31st March and we would not be having all these attempts by the Conservative Party undermine Democracy to make up for their disunity against their own Manifesto Pledge.
I agree Politics is not easy but believe we need to see facts which for me are primarily the numbers and hope these last few Posts have helped you in seeing the numbers at least. These are my interpretation of the numbers and welcome further analysis to test the validity of my analysis and if anything will at least help you to understand why I came to my position on Brexit.
If you believe Parliament is behaving undemocratically the ire needs to be towards the Conservative Party - They introduced a Bill where all Labour and Lib Dem core amendments were voted against or not even voted on. - This made it impossible for these Parties to vote for the Withdrawal Act as it went against some of their their core values. (Labour by definition cannot vote on a Bill that would potentially impact workers rights etc) - They did not vote as a Party for their own Bill.
The way forward I propose - Develop a Cross Party Deal which is agreed by a majority in Parliament and the EU. - Give the vote to the people in a referendum when we know the details and can make a more knowledgable decision against Leaving or Remaining.
I am willing to cede, why have a referendum if we have an agreed a Cross Party Deal as the mandate is already there and open to change my mind on seeing the Deal. My support of a referendum is that it may be the only way to bring people together, our views are more to the extremes at the moment and we need to move to a middle ground and believe this can only be done if everyone feels included in the decision made and feel that their concerns have been listened to.
The sticking point still remains that there is no Deal that will appease everyone both the voting public and sitting MP’s.
The only type we know is not acceptable is No-Deal, therefore the manipulation of Democracy to go against the ‘will of the people’ needs to be robustly defended in Parliament in spite of Johnson/Cummings vitriolic strategy.
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Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2019 9:04:55 GMT
We vote for Labour in the next election, Which would be an even worse choice than we have at the moment - Labour are led by a rabid pro-Brexiter and most of their MPs come from Brexit supporting constituencies. The vile Corbyn is waffling at the moment as he can sense being PM but he'd be an utter disaster as he's far more pro leaving the EU than Boris. Ah but at least he has realised and accepted that there is no majority for leaving without a deal. I voted Remain, and I still fervently believe any other result will be a disaster for this country economically, politically and socially, but I can resign myself to leaving only if we do so with a deal. What I cannot accept is a government bleating on about respecting the result of the referendum and equating that to a mandate to crash out without a deal when it was nothing of the sort. If the choice is between a Labour government leaving with a deal and a Tory government leaving without one then I think the former is certainly not a worse option, as much as I detest Corbyn!
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 10:13:21 GMT
Post by sf on Sept 27, 2019 10:13:21 GMT
Or JRM does a Francis Urquhart. I would not put it past him.
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 10:26:52 GMT
Post by Latecomer on Sept 27, 2019 10:26:52 GMT
Corbyn voted REMAIN in the referendum and has gone on record as having voted that way. However you look at it (and I voted remain and would still do so and am still sad) about half the voters, for whatever reasons, voted to leave the EU. We cannot disenfranchise these people, it is not democratic. We have to come to some solution that works. I find the Labour reasoning completely rational on this issue.
As for Corbyn, I find it hard to believe that people find him more of a threat than Johnson. Have people been reading too much inflammatory press? I can get that you may not like the man but seriously?
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 10:49:12 GMT
Post by theglenbucklaird on Sept 27, 2019 10:49:12 GMT
Corbyn voted REMAIN in the referendum and has gone on record as having voted that way. However you look at it (and I voted remain and would still do so and am still sad) about half the voters, for whatever reasons, voted to leave the EU. We cannot disenfranchise these people, it is not democratic. We have to come to some solution that works. I find the Labour reasoning completely rational on this issue. As for Corbyn, I find it hard to believe that people find him more of a threat than Johnson. Have people been reading too much inflammatory press? I can get that you may not like the man but seriously? Corbyn voted remain for a Tory Brexit. When he is negotiating the deal I could see him voting leave.
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Post by vdcni on Sept 27, 2019 10:54:14 GMT
Yeah I don't like Corbyn but the idea that he is somehow a worse option than someone prepared to circumvent the law, parliament, convention and the constitution to achieve his aim of a no deal Brexit which could potentially plunge the country into chaos is just not sustainable.
I mean Johnson's own sister is prepared, on TV, to suggest he's doing it under pressure from those who will make money from a no deal Brexit!!
At heart Corbyn's a leaver but he at least is hemmed in by the Labour Party and could never take us out without a deal.
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 11:00:53 GMT
Post by Latecomer on Sept 27, 2019 11:00:53 GMT
Corbyn voted REMAIN in the referendum and has gone on record as having voted that way. However you look at it (and I voted remain and would still do so and am still sad) about half the voters, for whatever reasons, voted to leave the EU. We cannot disenfranchise these people, it is not democratic. We have to come to some solution that works. I find the Labour reasoning completely rational on this issue. As for Corbyn, I find it hard to believe that people find him more of a threat than Johnson. Have people been reading too much inflammatory press? I can get that you may not like the man but seriously? Corbyn voted remain for a Tory Brexit. When he is negotiating the deal I could see him voting leave. Corbyn voted REMAIN in the original referendum....in 2016. He also campaigned for remain, admittedly he mirrored the view of many remain voters, saying he thought “on balance” that, whilst not perfect, it was better to stay in than leave. It was a nuanced view (echoed in many a front room round the country). With Corbyn you often get a thought through response that it is hard to put into a “sound bite” and that is one reason he is not the most effective politician. He is, however, I believe, a reasonable man and one who has tried to compromise in all this and even shifted his position, when facts became evident (customs union=necessary because of Irish border) If he does vote leave it will be for a “least damaging” deal that cuts political union but keeps trading ties and workers rights and environmental standards.
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 12:20:12 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2019 12:20:12 GMT
Ah, reasonable Mr Corbyn and his equally reasonable pals who do things like:
Support the IRA Befriend Hamas Preside over a rise in antiSemitism within the Labour party and tried to deny it was an issue Think the likes of Venezuela, China, North Korea and Soviet Russia got it right Didn’t believe Russia could possibly be behind the Skripal assassination attempt Want to get rid of our nuclear deterrent Don’t value our security services Plan to ravage middle earners for tax to put money behind crazy socialist schemes that will do more harm than good
I’ll stick with Johnson, thanks!
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Post by Nicholas on Sept 27, 2019 12:21:39 GMT
Absolutely. The language he used last night was absolutely sickening (and for the sake of my sanity I'm very glad I wasn't watching it live). My expectations of him, God knows, are rock bottom, and he managed to stoop even lower than I thought possible, and his party cheered him on. There's a gaping moral vacuum where the Tory benches used to be. Something terrifying, but telling, was that, yesterday on Question Time, James Cleverly was confronted with Johnson’s rhetoric, and consistently replied with “What Johnson means by that is…”.
So, what Johnson meant by “Death threats are humbug” is “Oh, violence a serious issue, but to place it all on Johnson’s shoulders is taking it to an extreme, and Labour are insensitively mischaracterising Johnson. Humbug.”. That’s not what he said – but it’s what he meant. Obviously!
That gives Johnson the immunity to say anything. This is TERRIFYING.
If his words mean what they mean, he’s a danger at best and an authoritarian at worst.
If his words don’t mean what they mean, he’s an idiot who doesn’t understand Key Stage Two vocabulary.
Either way, his party will be there to rewrite his script. But his can’t prop him up every time he makes a mistake. They certainly shouldn’t.
“When he calls it a surrender bill, he doesn’t mean we’re at war and surrendering, he just means he disapproves of a slight delay to secure trade between Ireland – it’s innocently political. However, he’ll still use Churchill's language of war about it, which is stoking us-and-them divisions which often lead to violence, just, ya know, because. He’s using a dangerous word incorrectly, but that’s not what he means, so it’s all harmless, of course.”
NO! Let his words be his words. Let his rhetoric be his rhetoric. If he’s a bad leader, oust him as leader. If he’s a good leader, let him represent himself with his own damn words.
My hunch? He’s honestly that thick. Well done, Eton.
It’s also terrifying that the newspaper front pages are quite so extreme, and I think that we need press moderation – that newspapers should be prohibited from using over-inflammatory language, or language with the potentiality to incite violence (which means that, if epithets like “Will of the People” have been employed by less-than-savoury regimes, by anarchists and assassins, they should probably be used with caution about milquetoast moderates). Most people don’t pick apart why Johnson is using the word ‘surrender’ (to pettily ape Churchill albeit confusing Mr Benn with Adolf Hitler) – they just hear the word and assume its warmongering meaning.
It’s important, therefore, that our press NEVER repeat, but report – which means moderating when our leaders go too far. It also means moderating themselves when they go too far. Only this controversial week, many have gone too far – that headline conflates illegal Johnson with legal compromise, and to conflate the two, in the context of reporting the truth, is terrifying.
Whatever else, Brexit isn’t a war, and frankly shouldn’t be divisive. THIS is something we should all agree on – that no-one has ‘surrendered’, nor will, nor can – but those who use that vocabulary ARE stoking violence, ARE stoking war. If there are enemies in this situation, it’s those who use the word ‘enemy’. Brexit is only a war if our leaders and newspapers want it to be. With his rhetoric, our Prime Minister wants it to be.
The long and the short is I’m truly, truly terrified – @cardinalpirelli , I would say shellshocked myself – in a way I wasn’t 48 hours ago. The man we saw on Wednesday, the rhetoric he’s using, is full of violent connotations, yet immune to criticism. Our leader believes that language of violence is “humbug”, despite often using carefully chosen loaded words, at other times being dangerously careless. His party then rewrites his words, rewrites his meaning, rewrites our language. These events could have dangerous, violent consequences. We can't let the lies of "he means something different" let Johnson off. This is how violence on the streets starts, violence amongst families, violence against the state. Worse, it’s not just Johnson – it’s his party accommodating his idiocy.
I cannot believe I’m typing this, but we need a leader who will not break the law, who doesn’t stoke violence against his own country, and who knows what basic words mean. I don’t know what we do, but we need Johnson’s party to apologise for not explain this rhetoric, and Johnson out ASAP, before his words really do have consequences. In some situations - "she just went to Iran to teach journalism" - they already have.
Words have meaning. Words have consequences. Any Prime Minister using the word 'surrender' at that dispatch box knows exactly that words have history. His party knows this too, and have the option to challenge or to condone. Whether intentional or idiotically unintentional, what words incite cannot be brushed away when inconvenient.
Or, to quote a great historical trial about the repercussions of language, "At best what you do is offensive, at worst it incites harassment and violence" - "That was popular for a certain demographic of people".
Dapper Laughs was held up to higher standards than our Prime Minister.
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 12:25:56 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2019 12:25:56 GMT
Interesting thoughts from Nicholas.
I wonder where you’ve been while Remainers have been insulted by all and sundry, and when Labour supporters/members/ministers have used openly violent language against Tories? Very strange that people only seem to care about this now when they can bash the Tories for it. Sigh.
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Post by theglenbucklaird on Sept 27, 2019 12:26:45 GMT
Ah, reasonable Mr Corbyn and his equally reasonable pals who do things like: Support the IRA Befriend Hamas Preside over a rise in antiSemitism within the Labour party and tried to deny it was an issue Think the likes of Venezuela, China, North Korea and Soviet Russia got it right Didn’t believe Russia could possibly be behind the Skripal assassination attempt Want to get rid of our nuclear deterrent Don’t value our security services Plan to ravage middle earners for tax to put money behind crazy socialist schemes that will do more harm than good I’ll stick with Johnson, thanks! Even for you Jean, that is terrible
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 12:29:30 GMT
Post by theglenbucklaird on Sept 27, 2019 12:29:30 GMT
Interesting thoughts from Nicholas. I wonder where you’ve been while Remainers have been insulted by all and sundry, and when Labour supporters/members/ministers have used openly violent language against Tories? Very strange that people only seem to care about this now when they can bash the Tories for it. Sigh. I don't agree with you, but that's better. One thing we do agree on, politics or theatre, what a fine writer is Nicholas. Could read his musings all day
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 12:31:44 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2019 12:31:44 GMT
Ah, reasonable Mr Corbyn and his equally reasonable pals who do things like: Support the IRA Befriend Hamas Preside over a rise in antiSemitism within the Labour party and tried to deny it was an issue Think the likes of Venezuela, China, North Korea and Soviet Russia got it right Didn’t believe Russia could possibly be behind the Skripal assassination attempt Want to get rid of our nuclear deterrent Don’t value our security services Plan to ravage middle earners for tax to put money behind crazy socialist schemes that will do more harm than good I’ll stick with Johnson, thanks! Even for you Jean, that is terrible Why so? Please point out the factual inaccuracies.
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Post by Nicholas on Sept 27, 2019 12:34:12 GMT
Interesting thoughts from Nicholas. I wonder where you’ve been while Remainers have been insulted by all and sundry, and when Labour supporters/members/ministers have used openly violent language against Tories? Very strange that people only seem to care about this now when they can bash the Tories for it. Sigh. Couple of things.
The anti-Semitism in Labour HAS been despicable. Part of it is the inaction, through speech, by Labour's higher-ups - which washes hands, subtly condoning. Personally, I think Corbyn should have taken more responsibility for his inaction therein. I think, in the last four years, Corbyn's language has been lacking - not dangerous, but nonetheless not powerful enough.
Individuals using violent language against each other is hate speech. Simple as. If a Labour member incites violence against a Tory, that's morally wrong and illegal to boot. I condone that. Off the top of my head I can't think of any Labour MPs doing so.
HOWEVER, leaders lead. Boris Johnson holds the highest office in the country. Our standards should come from him downwards. His language is dangerous, but when it was simply Telegraph columns it could be dismissed as fringe. For him to use his position so dangerously is terrifying.
P.S. One thing we do agree on, politics or theatre, what a fine writer is Nicholas. Could read his musings all day Blushes. I have actually been to the theatre once or twice this summer, I will talk about theatre again at some point, I promise!
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 12:34:31 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2019 12:34:31 GMT
Interesting thoughts from Nicholas. I wonder where you’ve been while Remainers have been insulted by all and sundry, and when Labour supporters/members/ministers have used openly violent language against Tories? Very strange that people only seem to care about this now when they can bash the Tories for it. Sigh. I don't agree with you, but that's better. One thing we do agree on, politics or theatre, what a fine writer is Nicholas. Could read his musings all day Ah, being condescended to once more. I’d forgotten why I’d stopped posting on here. *rolls eyes* *finds something better to do again*
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 12:36:30 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2019 12:36:30 GMT
Interesting thoughts from Nicholas. I wonder where you’ve been while Remainers have been insulted by all and sundry, and when Labour supporters/members/ministers have used openly violent language against Tories? Very strange that people only seem to care about this now when they can bash the Tories for it. Sigh. Couple of things.
The anti-Semitism in Labour HAS been despicable. Part of it is the inaction - which washes hands, subtly condoning. Personally, I think Corbyn should have taken more responsibility for his inaction therein. I think, in the last four years, Corbyn's language has been lacking - not dangerous, but nonetheless not powerful enough.
Individuals using violent language against each other is hate speech. Simple as. If a Labour member incites violence against a Tory, that's morally wrong and illegal to boot. I condone that. Off the top of my head I can't think of any Labour MPs doing so.
HOWEVER, leaders lead. Boris Johnson holds the highest office in the country. Our standards should come from him downwards. His language is dangerous, but when it was simply Telegraph columns it could be dismissed as fringe. For him to use his position so dangerously is terrifying.
McDonnell/McVey
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 12:41:13 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2019 12:41:13 GMT
So I stepped in because I can’t bear seeing that vile man Corbyn lauded as the Messiah and somehow regarded as a better person than Johnson. They both have their faults and my personal opinion is that a Corbyn government would do this country far worse damage than a no deal Brexit under Johnson.
But listen: nothing would make me happier than if the whole darn lot of them would stop throwing brickbats at each other and centre around a deal that delivers on the referendum. I’m not holding my breath though!!
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Brexit
Sept 27, 2019 12:49:08 GMT
Post by theglenbucklaird on Sept 27, 2019 12:49:08 GMT
I don't agree with you, but that's better. One thing we do agree on, politics or theatre, what a fine writer is Nicholas. Could read his musings all day Ah, being condescended to once more. I’d forgotten why I’d stopped posting on here. *rolls eyes* *finds something better to do again* Come on you love the banter, you are a good proponent
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Post by Nicholas on Sept 27, 2019 12:49:52 GMT
I'll grant you that, forgot those (honestly can't remember the specifics). Repeating myself - inciting violence is wrong, immoral and illegal. If they did so we all unreservedly condemn that.
Just to repeat, and emphasise, though - leaders set higher standards than the rest. Johnson's words have larger, even global, repercussions. A leader saying death threats don't matter - that matters.
Anywho, I have HUGE problems with Corbyn. He's infinitely better than Johnson, but personally I'd like to see a new leader before the next election - albeit one who continues principled left-wing politics for a principled left-wing party.
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Post by theglenbucklaird on Sept 27, 2019 12:51:05 GMT
Even for you Jean, that is terrible Why so? Please point out the factual inaccuracies. Let's do them one by one then. Did he support the IRA?
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