2,761 posts
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Post by n1david on Jun 26, 2016 16:06:14 GMT
In an opinion poll two days before the referendum, 43% of people believed that Turkey was on the fast-track to EU entry. That's not true.
Leave said one thing, Remain said another. The facts were there, but people either didn't seek them out, or refused to believe them when they did find them.
Now my view is that Leave shouldn't have got away with statements that simply weren't true, but the way our broadcast media works is that we have to give equal time to both sides so we heard as many people saying "they're on the fast-track: as "they're not".
It's all very well to say people should do their own research, and boy I would love that to be true, but it isn't happening, now whether that is because they don't have the time, the inclination or the knowledge to do so I don't know, but if it true that over 40% of people believe something that is demonstrably not true, and they use that to make an "informed" decision on the future of our country, then we have a problem with the way our media and politicians work.
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Brexit
Jun 26, 2016 16:25:48 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2016 16:25:48 GMT
Does anyone know or know,where to look to see the theatres or theatrical/arts festivals funded by the EU and by how much? I've had a quick search around and all I can find are mentions of individual projects such as a €199,920 (why not another €80?) grant for audio description in Wolverhampton or a €5m grant to help 38 unspecified arts organisations. It might be impossible to get a comprehensive list because organisations can get grants through many different channels, including direct applications. I tried checking with the Treasury to see if they have figures but the only figures I could find were totals for the public and private sectors, not breakdowns. Unfortunatly it's difficult to pin down the figures as you say (until reccently I was writing bids for academics so all to familar with the myriad of listings!) Each funder will list it's project but many projects have multiple funders. However Creative Europe and Horizon 2020 are the two key funders for the really big European funding. That covers not only individual arts projects but also things like cultural regeneration projects, of which for example, the Welsh Valleys saw a great deal (and now in their wisdom overwhelmingly voted out) for things like that the local council also keeps a record somewhere usually. What those lists don't cover is the fact that a lot of cultural money also comes in other ways through collaboration with European partners. So for example if the Italian Government wants to fund a bit international arts festival, British companies could team up with an Italian mate and be a part of that bid. Not as big money as the Creative Europe/Horizon 2020 pots but still a fair chunk for the average company using them. Interestingly (well in the world of bid writing anyway) the European research office is having it's annual conference next week, so we may hear more from them about how long before funding is cut off entierly etc in their estimation.
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2,339 posts
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Post by theglenbucklaird on Jun 26, 2016 17:41:12 GMT
Felt for a long time now democracy doesn't work. The people are stupid and don't deserve a vote. Don't get me wrong I would have fought for my vote and one hundred years ago I would have fought for female suffrage. I thought it great when black South Africans were able to vote, when France ousted the Nazi's in 1945, when Germany unified in 1989 and the wall came down etc etc etc.
But mature democracies don't work. Give me a dictatorship anyday
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Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2016 19:20:32 GMT
The petitioners are even more stupid than the referendum. Gee thanks. Ive signed it, will it make a difference? Probably not, but its a democracy and its my democratic right to do so. Better than just sitting there bitching about the result and not doing anything. If the result had been more clean cut with a stronger majority, if people weren't already admitting they regret their vote, if the Leave campaign hadnt already admitted they cant honour anything they promised and if it hadnt given voice to a very dark side of the UK then it might be different. As it stands its a mess, many of the people who voted leave wont get what they want and the other half of the country is feeling anything from sad through to angry. Including a whole generation who have had their future limited with no clear indication of the positives for them with us leaving. Then add to that Europeans living here who now feel isolated, scared and unwanted.
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520 posts
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Brexit
Jun 26, 2016 19:24:55 GMT
Post by theatreliker on Jun 26, 2016 19:24:55 GMT
I'm not sure how well playwrights on Twitter have handled it.
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2,761 posts
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Post by n1david on Jun 26, 2016 19:26:47 GMT
I'm not sure how well playwrights on Twitter have handled it. I'm not sure how well politicians on Twitter have handled it.
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5,062 posts
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Brexit
Jun 26, 2016 20:02:45 GMT
Post by Phantom of London on Jun 26, 2016 20:02:45 GMT
We have to get angry at the politicians who flat-out lied to procure a victory, and the press with their own agendas. Leavers and Remainers all have to get angry at the Sun and the Mail and the headlines of lies, and at UKIP and at those buses, those posters and those lies. We all know that politicians and newspapers lie but there's no excuse for believing those lies when it's so easy to do our own research. Take the claim of £350m per week that could be spent on the NHS. It only took me a few minutes to find a paper from the House of Commons showing that once the abatement and the money we get back in grants are taken into consideration the actual figure is more like £110m. That still sounds a lot, until you divide it by the adult population and think of it as £2.10 per person per week, or until you compare it to the government's total expenditure of just over £14,000m per week. (Yes, our government spends £2b per calendar day.) Suddenly it looks less like we're being bled dry and more like small change. Nearly everyone could have done this, and they should have done this. Nobody should take a vote-hungry politician's word for it. Hell, you shouldn't take my word for it. See for yourselves (pages 10 to 11), or go even deeper (paragraphs 32 to 37). With so much information available from the source politicians and newspapers shouldn't be able to get away with this. Politicians and Newspapers lie? As you say about that £350m figure and what Kathryn so eloquently said earlier in this thread, it is a where confirmation bias becomes overwhelming. Looking at the news, it certainly is the day of the long knives.
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1,250 posts
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Post by joem on Jun 26, 2016 20:07:05 GMT
If the vote had gone the other way it would have been like "end of story". Democracy cannot be applied a la carte. Either the majority wins or you have an elite which decides when to take democratic decisions into account, at which point you are no longer living in a democarcy.
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Brexit
Jun 26, 2016 20:08:57 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2016 20:08:57 GMT
But that information isnt readily available to everyone, as usual people are assuming the internet is the answer. I think thats also part of the reason the majority of exit votes were from the older generations who dont use the internet as much, or at all
For every bit of information given there was a counter argument and then facts get lost in opinions and headlines.
Why on earth they didnt put a minimum % majority on it to give a clear result (like the general election) god only knows. And why david cameron ignored nicola sturgeons request that every country in the uk would need to have the same majority result is a mystery. Its almost like he wanted this mess
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Brexit
Jun 26, 2016 20:17:33 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2016 20:17:33 GMT
Why on earth they didnt put a minimum % majority on it to give a clear result (like the general election) god only knows. They did - 0.000 000 1%
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Brexit
Jun 26, 2016 20:22:35 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2016 20:22:35 GMT
Probably I am really slow and thick, but I've only just noticed that Referendum Day was chosen as the UK release date of Hollywood blockbuster movie Independence Day: Resurgence.
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1,499 posts
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Post by Steve on Jun 26, 2016 20:32:29 GMT
If the vote had gone the other way it would have been like "end of story". Democracy cannot be applied a la carte. Either the majority wins or you have an elite which decides when to take democratic decisions into account, at which point you are no longer living in a democarcy. Of course the majority wins, and must get what it wants, but the majority in one year may not want what the majority now wants, and should be allowed to change it's mind. If I decide to walk under a bus today, may I not change my mind just before stepping into the road? That is why it is important that Boris Johnson become the next PM. Anything else would be seen as an attempt by the remainers to subvert the democratic will of the people. This Brexit is going to stink, economically (as recession hits, and there is less money for the have-nots in society, who voted for this debacle), militarily (as we no longer will have a veto to prevent a European army emerging to subvert Nato) and I want every bit of that stink to rub off on Boris Johnson. What needs to happen is for Brexiteers to become the establishment. The unfortunate truth is that the disadvantaged and side-lined will always take revenge on the establishment in any vote, and the conflating of that fact with the Brexiteers' pushing of a false superior nostalgic and prejudiced view of foreigners and Europe made people vote for the false hope of a new dawn. Let us not forget that it was Boris Johnson who described himself as having a "weird sense of power" when he used to file those bogus and biased anti-European reports, as the Daily Telegraph's man in Brussels, and get the country frothing about bendy bananas and the like. If Boris is PM, and becomes the establishment, it will be easier to destabilise the whole Brexit project before the two years is up, because he will get bad news after bad news after bad news, and the whole stinking thing might come tumbling down, as Brexit voters are consumed by buyer's remorse. I know I'm "stupid" for looking for a way out, but that is why I signed that petition, so that some future "saviour" can point to it as just one other tool in their weapon cupboard when Johnson and his failed stinking project are ripe for being picked off. What must not happen is for Theresa May to become PM. She is a remainer, and that is not what the country has voted for. Then Johnson can put the stink on her, and inherit the earth afterwards. No way!
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Brexit
Jun 26, 2016 20:52:03 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2016 20:52:03 GMT
But that information isnt readily available to everyone, as usual people are assuming the internet is the answer. I think thats also part of the reason the majority of exit votes were from the older generations who dont use the internet as much, or at all 86% of adults in the UK had Internet access in 2015. 78% of adults accessed it every day or nearly every day. (Source: Office for National Statistics. I don't know what they mean by "nearly".) Some people may find it hard to verify information but 5 out of 6 have no real excuse for not trying. The information is readily available. It's not like it was twenty years ago when most people weren't online, most documents weren't online, and if you wanted access to official government publications you had to put a cheque in the post and wait for your order to be processed, assuming you were able to put a name to what you wanted to find out in the first place. Now it's easy: most governments have done all the hard work of publishing their legislation, statistics and reports online and making them searchable, and all we need to do is go and look at them. The only reason people don't do it is because they don't want their precious opinions to be threatened by inconvenient facts. I don't understand that attitude. I find it quite liberating when I've done my research and know what I'm saying is correct, even if it means altering my opinion, because then I don't have to worry about someone else being the person with the facts and using them to challenge me.
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1,250 posts
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Brexit
Jun 26, 2016 21:05:44 GMT
Post by joem on Jun 26, 2016 21:05:44 GMT
I hope if Scotland ever becomes independent it will continue to hold regular consultations to see if they want reunification.
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Post by Nicholas on Jun 26, 2016 22:28:44 GMT
If the vote had gone the other way it would have been like "end of story". Democracy cannot be applied a la carte. Either the majority wins or you have an elite which decides when to take democratic decisions into account, at which point you are no longer living in a democarcy. Actually, Steve's petition was started by a Leaver concerned about the vote going the other way. He’s been vocal about it – he believed Remain would win by a narrow margin so wanted a second referendum. Now Leave’s won by a narrow margin, his petition is our petition, and he sure as hell begrudges what his own petard is doing to him. I find that democratic. Incidentally, Farage said that a narrow Remain win would warrant a second referendum. 48/52. He’s been quiet about that. But this issue, this demand for a second referendum, is not anti-democracy. Let's go back two or three years, to the approaching 2015 election. Some years before, when I was at uni, my friend became very involved in our local food bank, something of which I’d been unforgivably oblivious. Seeing the number of people reliant on this go up, under Tory rule in the fifth largest economy, I was convinced that there was only one way to vote in 2015 – anti-austerity, anti-poverty, anti- this. Our country was starving, still is. After five years of an austerity that worsened the economy, crippled the poor and benefited the rich, who wouldn’t vote against that? As it turns out, enough people. As a loser, that made me angry, but as a loser, I lost. Now, there are issues with First-Past-The-Post (I still maintain Proportional Representation is the way forwards, Alternative Vote was a joke and they knew it) and their majority may be tiny, but in our democracy the Tories clearly won fair and square. Democracy. That’s that. Were there underhand tactics, press manipulation, and lies on either side? Duh. But fewer than now, more informed debate, more public truth-telling, and a clear victory. It was a fair election, fairly won, and we losers had to concede defeat. What we wouldn’t do was take a lie lying down: had the Tories said “We will prioritise the NHS” and then not (ahem), we’d be on the streets making sure this didn’t happen. We’d cross the bridge of lies when we came to it; on May 8th, we’d lost fairly. This too was won by a tiny mandate – if one in fifty Leavers voted Remain, we’d be in a different world (either way, the victory was too small to say “The public has spoken”, and how can anyone use a 50/50 split to judge a majority?). But the result came only two days ago and already the man who said “We’ll curb immigration” is maintaining levels of immigration (an issue that convinced well over 1 in 50 voters), all the people who stood behind that unambiguous £350,000,000 poster have redefined those terms like they redefined Child Poverty (an issue that convinced well over 1 in 50 voters), the economy has gone down sharper than promised (an issue that convinced well over 1 in 50 voters) and we’ll have to wait a few months in a leaderless country unsure what we’re doing, who’s doing it, under what terms and when (an issue that convinced well over 1 in 50 voters). As I say, voting Leave was not a mistake; voting Leave for these reasons WAS. This was not fairly lost by us Remainers, but unfairly won by the Leavers. There’s anger in the air. People were told to ignore experts, and lied to by those pied pipers. Those people deserve a second chance. If there’s a snap election, I do wonder how many Scotland-supporting NHS-loving cash-strapped Leavers would like the chance to show the lying Borises, Goves and Leave campaigners what’s for and turn to Remain, truth in their mind, new emotions in their heart. It’s not sour grapes for us losers; it’s sour grapes for the Pyrrhic victors who've lost it all. Lied-to Leavers deserve the chance for their voice to represent their views – not Gove’s lies, not Boris’ stink, not Farage’s racism, but their love of the NHS, their reasonable concerns with immigration, their economic dissatisfaction with the EU’s issues. We are now, as we speak, on a bridge of lies; on June 25th, we’ve lost unfairly. I’m not taking these lies lying down. P.S. Matthew, I’m no economist, and whilst the facts are readily available, I frankly barely understood your articles. Instead I trust experts to give me them in a way that speaks down to me. The single worst thing to come out of this farrago was Gove’s “I think we’ve had enough of experts”. Gove (Lady Margaret Hall, Oxford, 2:1) has done more damage with that one line than anyone. He’s told us that your information is bogus, my emotions are political. Against that, there’s no counter-argument. That's terrifying. What an awful political world. P.P.S. Steve, Boris won’t be the next PM. Boris has lost by winning. He’s made promises about more than policy, promises about emotion, and already those are broken. As Dylan sang, "Everything Is Broken", and as Dylan sang on the same album, "We live in a political world/Wisdom is thrown in jail/It rots in a cell/Is misguided as hell/Leaving no-one to pick up a trail" (but then again, the album after, Dylan sang "Wiggle til you wiggle right out of here", so perhaps that’s enough Dylan/Brexit quotes). But whoever leads, we can’t forget the stink. Cameron’s gone because of Boris’ stink. His successor, be they Boris or be they nobody we know, inherits that stink. Whatever they say about Brexit, we have to reply with Boris. He can go, but don't forget him; never forget him. P.P.P.S. We have to get angry at the politicians who flat-out lied to procure a victory And the ones who had the power to change the outcome, but sat back and did nothing. Who are they, in your eyes? I ask out of genuine interest. My social circle is a socialist circle-jerk, and I find it pitifully myopic that people write articles in The Guardian, in the New Statesman, in the i100, then expect Mail, Sun and Express readers to take heart. If I wrote for the Guardian, I’d be embarrassed at how little I did to preach to the unconverted. Have you ever heard of Owen Jones, Laurie Penny, Polly Toynbee? Morons. These people need to know how little they’re doing, that their actual audience are theoretical houmus-eating champagne-socialists, whilst their target audience go reading rags that lie to them. Telling the middle class “The working class won this referendum, and they’ll lose the most from it” (as has been written, in the Grauniad) is such a backwards, nigh-on offensive way of dealing with the working class – turning them into a scapegoat, turning them into a theory, turning them into a ‘them’ – so nothing will change. That’s why there needs to be proper regulations, regulations which matter – at work someone had a Sun, and it was racist headlines and pretty pictures and emotional vitriol aimed at ‘the foreigner’, and the way to counter-act that isn’t to write a lengthy footnoted Comment Is Free in a left-wing rag’s online corner, but to take that Sun to task. P.P.P.P.S. Felt for a long time now democracy doesn't work. The people are stupid and don't deserve a vote. Don't get me wrong I would have fought for my vote and one hundred years ago I would have fought for female suffrage. I thought it great when black South Africans were able to vote, when France ousted the Nazi's in 1945, when Germany unified in 1989 and the wall came down etc etc etc. But mature democracies don't work. Give me a dictatorship anyday Of course, been waiting to post this clip for months now.
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Post by horton on Jun 26, 2016 22:45:06 GMT
Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and Iain Duncan Smith are already central parts of the Establishment. With the next PM being chosen by 150,000 Tory party members we are at great risk of the Hard Right taking control of the government- at which point they will do their very best to ensure they entrench themselves in power. Johnson has already shown his ability to say and do appalling things yet still remain popular with the masses. (I wonder if I have News For You is regretting having given him such a launching platform in the past?)
Even if there were a snap election, I wouldn't be surprised to see Johnson & co being returned to power by those who refuse to accept that the country has just been tipped into chaos.
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Post by Phantom of London on Jun 27, 2016 9:27:12 GMT
I heard on the radio, this morning that 9/10 UKIP supporters voted for out.
I would love to meet the 1 UKIP member who voted remain!!
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Post by Deleted on Jun 27, 2016 10:51:22 GMT
At the moment we are in the situation where people have voted on what they don't want. As there was no coherence or plan from the leave side, and I suppose naturally as they were a pressure group not a party, then there will need to be a confirmation vote for whatever is actually negotiated.
I don't want or expect this referendum to be rerun as the result was because of the nature of it being as above. What I would like is the chance to vote on what we are eventually offered. Because again, if we are not, there will be years of people saying they were not given the choice and that has to be avoided in order to create some sort of definite settlement.
So, a couple of years (maybe more if people really don't know what comes next) and a referendum on the proposals is necessary. The other option on the ballot would necessarily be re-entrance to the EU as it exists at that time (which is likely to have been reformed in a number of ways by then).
The more I think of it, the more I think that a vote to accept or reject any proposals is necessary.
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4,369 posts
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Brexit
Jun 27, 2016 11:21:45 GMT
Post by Michael on Jun 27, 2016 11:21:45 GMT
I don't know much about British politics so please correct me if I'm wrong.
If I understood it correctly, the referendum is not binding.
Cameron (or whomever his successor is) would have to have a vote in the parliament (the House of Commons, I suppose?) whether or not the UK should leave the EU. And then it's up to all the MPs. Labour and SNP will, I assume, vote remain, the one UKIP MP, of course, leave, so it's up to the Tories. Would they have to vote for leave, or is it everyone's own decision? So if there were several Tory MPs thinking "leaving the EU is bad for the UK, despite the referendum I can't vote for leave" and voting remain, Brexit would not happen.
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Brexit
Jun 27, 2016 11:34:42 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jun 27, 2016 11:34:42 GMT
In all the media interviews this weekend, every MP who had supported Vote Remain in the campaign period said that they accept the decision of the UK electorate to leave the EU.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 27, 2016 11:36:59 GMT
In all the media interviews this weekend, every MP who had supported Vote Remain in the campaign period said that they accept the decision of the UK electorate to leave the EU. Phew! Because after this appalling campaign from both sides, we all know that we can trust MPs to tell the truth.
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Brexit
Jun 27, 2016 11:46:55 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jun 27, 2016 11:46:55 GMT
Phew! Because after this appalling campaign from both sides, we all know that we can trust MPs to tell the truth. The difference is that in the campaign they were trying to get votes, but that campaign is now over and the UK electorate has decided so there is no electoral advantage in an MP now saying they will vote one way in a Parliamentary vote and then voting in the opposite way.
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5,707 posts
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Brexit
Jun 27, 2016 12:01:57 GMT
Post by lynette on Jun 27, 2016 12:01:57 GMT
I don't know much about British politics so please correct me if I'm wrong. If I understood it correctly, the referendum is not binding. Cameron (or whomever his successor is) would have to have a vote in the parliament (the House of Commons, I suppose?) whether or not the UK should leave the EU. And then it's up to all the MPs. Labour and SNP will, I assume, vote remain, the one UKIP MP, of course, leave, so it's up to the Tories. Would they have to vote for leave, or is it everyone's own decision? So if there were several Tory MPs thinking "leaving the EU is bad for the UK, despite the referendum I can't vote for leave" and voting remain, Brexit would not happen. Nice progression of what ifs.
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Brexit
Jun 27, 2016 12:10:55 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jun 27, 2016 12:10:55 GMT
I'm fairly certain a substantial number of head honchos at the EU have also said 'no second chances'?
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2,761 posts
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Post by n1david on Jun 27, 2016 12:40:25 GMT
The "no second chance" as I understand it relates to a further renegotiation of the UK's deal which was negotiated in February - we couldn't use a Brexit vote to force a better deal.
I think we may well end up with "Brexit lite" based on Johnson's statements this morning, however there's a long way to go and many hurdles to be got over by then. My concern is that given the strength of feeling prior to the referendum, and some of the reported events since the outcome, it could cause civil unrest in some towns and cities if a government tries to water down the pledge to significantly reduce migration.
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