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Post by kathryn on Jul 21, 2018 7:43:21 GMT
They could have fun with that poll. It shows 10% changing from remain to leave. What if that were what would happen in a second R ? Honestly, it most likely would. Because people vote with their emotions, not their brain, and Brexit is now being sold as ‘us against them’, ‘democratic’, ‘showing the EU’ etc. And, as shown above, people still don’t entirely grasp what they are voting for. Remember that time in the general election when the TV reporter was asking people how they were going to vote and that lady said that she didn’t agree with any of the Tory policies but she was going to vote for them because she thought Theresa May was going to win? A lot of people just want to have voted for the winner!
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Brexit
Jul 21, 2018 14:36:06 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2018 14:36:06 GMT
I voted remain before but would probably vote to leave now if it's a choice between Mays new deal or a complete brexit. Erm, both May’s new deal and hard Brexit are leave. That’s not a choice between remain and leave that you’re talking about. I never said it was a choice between leave or remain, I said against Mays deal or a no deal. Mays deal will not come without accepting Brussels still influencing certain things. If we leave we don't have a seat at the table to have a say on those rules on a soft brexit (like Norway for example). I'd rather we leave completely than have a half hearted agreement where we have to adhere to some rules we have no say in anymore.
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Post by sf on Jul 21, 2018 15:55:20 GMT
Erm, both May’s new deal and hard Brexit are leave. That’s not a choice between remain and leave that you’re talking about. I never said it was a choice between leave or remain, I said against Mays deal or a no deal. Mays deal will not come without accepting Brussels still influencing certain things. If we leave we don't have a seat at the table to have a say on those rules on a soft brexit (like Norway for example). I'd rather we leave completely than have a half hearted agreement where we have to adhere to some rules we have no say in anymore.
So you'd rather crash the economy, impose a couple of decades of austerity, destroy a few key industries (agriculture and anything involving a multinational manufacturing chain, for a start) and flush a bunch of our rights down the toilet than maintain an arrangement which, while less than ideal, at least minimises the damage to the economy and employment levels? EVERY scenario that puts us outside the EU will damage us, according to the government's own impact assessments. Ironically, given all the endless, tedious bleating about "sovereignty" that we've heard over the past couple of years, the best way to preserve our sovereignty is to maintain a role in setting the rules we trade under, and the only way to do that is as a full member of the EU. Leave, and we become rule-takers - the only question being whose rules.
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Brexit
Jul 21, 2018 16:48:25 GMT
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Post by NeilVHughes on Jul 21, 2018 16:48:25 GMT
End of the Pier, Park Theatre
On initial impressions a cheesy seventies throwback, in reality one of the best state of the nation plays of the year.
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Brexit
Jul 21, 2018 17:43:52 GMT
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Post by wickedgrin on Jul 21, 2018 17:43:52 GMT
They could have fun with that poll. It shows 10% changing from remain to leave. What if that were what would happen in a second R ? The establishment would say that 10% more people were thicker than before and call for a 3rd referendum!
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Brexit
Jul 21, 2018 17:55:40 GMT
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Post by kathryn on Jul 21, 2018 17:55:40 GMT
Erm, both May’s new deal and hard Brexit are leave. That’s not a choice between remain and leave that you’re talking about. I never said it was a choice between leave or remain, I said against Mays deal or a no deal. Mays deal will not come without accepting Brussels still influencing certain things. If we leave we don't have a seat at the table to have a say on those rules on a soft brexit (like Norway for example). I'd rather we leave completely than have a half hearted agreement where we have to adhere to some rules we have no say in anymore. Well, that’s a fair enough opinion to hold, but rather confusing when we were just talking about if people would change from their original referendum vote.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 21, 2018 18:19:17 GMT
A referendum on soft or hard Brexit only is like being offered a choice between a punch in the face or a knife in the heart.
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Brexit
Jul 22, 2018 5:17:04 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Jul 22, 2018 5:17:04 GMT
I never said it was a choice between leave or remain, I said against Mays deal or a no deal. Mays deal will not come without accepting Brussels still influencing certain things. If we leave we don't have a seat at the table to have a say on those rules on a soft brexit (like Norway for example). I'd rather we leave completely than have a half hearted agreement where we have to adhere to some rules we have no say in anymore. Well, that’s a fair enough opinion to hold, but rather confusing when we were just talking about if people would change from their original referendum vote. but the question is not as simple as that so why would I?! the discussion in the news and what has recently been put forward is a referendum on the deal, or a new three option referendum. The government have already said it will respect the initial vote. Yes if a simple referendum like last time is offered then I'd vote remain but that is highly unlikely to happen, thankfully as it was a dumb question in the first place. and why they didn't stipulate a certain clear majority had to be passed god only knows. If treason were still a thing there are many politicians I'd like to see in the tower for their handling of this The EU is really at risk of falling apart, and their sheer arrogance to not think 'could we make some changes to stop this growing antiEU attitude'is only going to help. speaking to a group of Finnish people in a small town in Finland they were glad we are leaving because we voted yes for the lightbulb regulations which is having a big negative impact on them. Now I'm not doing what others do and make a sweeping statement that all of Finland is against us or the EU, but it shows how even small and some may say petty rules can have larger impacts. Ruling so many different countries and cultures so generally doesn't really work as each area has specific requirements and reasons why they may do something, so to be told you have to do it this way but people with no idea will annoy people. What annoys me about people going on about jobs, the economy etc yes that's obviously important, but what about the people and situations that have been affected negatively by being in the EUbut have been ignored for years. it's this attitude that got us in the first place. People going 'well it doesn't affect me so it's all good' Now it unfortunately will affect others and they understandably are angry. also project fear has so far been proven to be as much as a lie as the whole NHS thing so the public have lost complete trust with all sides. Yes we havent left yet, but project fear was just as unclear as the leave campain. Sadly I've had to study a lot on brexit in the last two years for my degree and after various seminars, research , lectures etc what it boils down to is no one actually knows how this is going to work out and that it's purely guess work. I've actually been surprised how some lecturers/speakers, based on their backgrounds and businesses, had voted. There are opportunities and pros to leaving, but it is a huge risk and we will likely have to make concessions but just to other countries instead of the EU anyway. Everyone is voting on their emotion, both sides of the argument, it just depends on how you're personally affected as to how you're going to vote.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 22, 2018 7:05:12 GMT
Two years ago a planning authority in Hawaii voted in favour of construction of a new housing estate at the bottom of the dormant Kilauea volcano. This volcano is now active and spewing hot lava out at an unexpected president destroying the landscape around it. Do the planning authority allow the construction of the houses to continue?
Of course not. Not only are the houses likely to be destroyed in the following two years of anticipated lava eruption but many many lives would be put at risk in the process.
This is a perfect analogy for the current British government's argument that the 'will of the people' should be respected. There is no positive potential outcome and yet they're willing to lead us all, electorate and economy, into the fire because thats what some people misguidedly voted in favour of.
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Post by crowblack on Jul 22, 2018 7:40:21 GMT
they're willing to lead us all, electorate and economy, into the fire because thats what some people misguidedly voted in favour of. Some parts of the country feel thats what other parts of the electorate have inflicted on them for decades c/o Thatcherism.
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Post by theglenbucklaird on Jul 26, 2018 19:59:04 GMT
Looks like Chequers Brexit deal is dead in the water, if it was ever alive
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Brexit
Jul 28, 2018 10:38:40 GMT
Post by joem on Jul 28, 2018 10:38:40 GMT
May is an absolutely useless negotiator. At this rate the country will end up with the worst possible outcome - out but in.
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Post by kathryn on Jul 28, 2018 11:36:15 GMT
No deal would be the worst possible outcome. Out but in (Brexit in Name Only) is obviously worse than what we have now and very bad from a geopolitical point of view, in that we lose all influence, but economically better than a lot of the other options - certainly in terms of avoiding nasty economic shocks next year.
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Post by sf on Jul 29, 2018 15:09:47 GMT
No deal would be the worst possible outcome. Out but in (Brexit in Name Only) is obviously worse than what we have now and very bad from a geopolitical point of view, in that we lose all influence, but economically better than a lot of the other options - certainly in terms of avoiding nasty economic shocks next year.
Out but in/Brexit in name only is also a significantly better outcome than No Deal in terms of citizens' rights - ALL our rights, not just UK citizens living elsewhere in the EU and EU citizens living here. Freedom of movement is a big deal, and throwing it away would cause a great deal of damage - it would significantly diminish the opportunities available to us, leave UK citizens living elsewhere in the EU at the mercy of individual governments with whom we'd just terminated all our reciprocal agreements, and create a pile of paperwork/anxiety for EU citizens who have made their lives in the UK entirely legally, and who make a positive contribution to our society (not to mention to the taxman). The government's proposals for dealing with EU citizens in the UK post-Brexit are somewhere between insulting and laughable. Under an out-but-in scenario, most of that damage would be averted.
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Brexit
Jul 29, 2018 15:20:32 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jul 29, 2018 15:20:32 GMT
The situation now appears to be, according to polling, that Brexiters will not accept any compromise. I would have, despite heavy misgivings, have accepted some aspects of leave to retain some benefits of not doing but, if that’s what they want, then there looks to be no other way than either remain or hard Brexit. The vast difference between the two can now only lead to the conflict that was feared. May has tried, she has failed to sell any compromise, thus we are barrelling towards disaster. The forces that are in play are beyond any of our control.
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Post by sf on Jul 29, 2018 15:28:38 GMT
The situation now appears to be, according to polling, that Brexiters will not accept any compromise. I would have, despite heavy misgivings, have accepted some aspects of leave to retain some benefits of not doing but, if that’s what they want, then there looks to be no other way than either remain or hard Brexit. The vast difference between the two can now only lead to the conflict that was feared. May has tried, she has failed to sell any compromise, thus we are barrelling towards disaster. The forces that are in play are beyond any of our control.
But at least, in calling the referendum, David Cameron managed to heal the rift between the warring factions on the Tory back benches.
Oh, wait...
History will not be kind to him. If he's lucky, he'll be remembered as the most incompetent Prime Minister since Lord North.
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Brexit
Jul 29, 2018 17:16:23 GMT
Post by theglenbucklaird on Jul 29, 2018 17:16:23 GMT
The situation now appears to be, according to polling, that Brexiters will not accept any compromise. I would have, despite heavy misgivings, have accepted some aspects of leave to retain some benefits of not doing but, if that’s what they want, then there looks to be no other way than either remain or hard Brexit. The vast difference between the two can now only lead to the conflict that was feared. May has tried, she has failed to sell any compromise, thus we are barrelling towards disaster. The forces that are in play are beyond any of our control.
But at least, in calling the referendum, David Cameron managed to heal the rift between the warring factions on the Tory back benches.
Oh, wait...
History will not be kind to him. If he's lucky, he'll be remembered as the most incompetent Prime Minister since Lord North.
That's what Paxo said
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Brexit
Jul 29, 2018 17:22:08 GMT
Post by sf on Jul 29, 2018 17:22:08 GMT
But at least, in calling the referendum, David Cameron managed to heal the rift between the warring factions on the Tory back benches.
Oh, wait...
History will not be kind to him. If he's lucky, he'll be remembered as the most incompetent Prime Minister since Lord North.
That's what Paxo said
I'd missed that - a quick google search informs me he said it on Room 101, which is not a show I often watch - but I suppose it's heartening that I'm not the only one to have come to that conclusion.
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Post by crowblack on Jul 29, 2018 22:14:36 GMT
History will not be kind to him. I think it's being kind to him about Libya - what was done there was utterly catastrophic and I am amazed he has escaped the sort of blame Blair gets for Iraq.
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Post by sf on Jul 29, 2018 22:26:30 GMT
History will not be kind to him. I think it's being kind to him about Libya - what was done there was utterly catastrophic and I am amazed he has escaped the sort of blame Blair gets for Iraq.
True.
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Brexit
Aug 29, 2018 15:37:16 GMT
Post by Deleted on Aug 29, 2018 15:37:16 GMT
Those that can provide an educated forecast, I recognise that the direction and resulting outcome of Brexit is still up in the air and unknown, but are there any *legitimate* predictions about what might happen to property value over the next few years? Is there a good time to invest, eg now, prior? Will finance be harder to ascertain post-Brexit? Will property value crumble? Thanks in advance.
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Post by anthony40 on Aug 29, 2018 16:42:40 GMT
I'm sorry, ca i just put this out there? Did anyone else think that Theresa Mays dancing on the news last night was the most horrific thing was the most horrific thing I've seen all week?
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Brexit
Aug 29, 2018 16:56:20 GMT
Post by david on Aug 29, 2018 16:56:20 GMT
I'm sorry, ca i just put this out there? Did anyone else think that Theresa Mays dancing on the news last night was the most horrific thing was the most horrific thing I've seen all week? Definitely! This was definitely not her finest moment as PM. I wonder what she was thinking (if anything!)?
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Post by n1david on Aug 29, 2018 17:09:59 GMT
Those that can provide an educated forecast, I recognise that the direction and resulting outcome of Brexit is still up in the air and unknown, but are there any *legitimate* predictions about what might happen to property value over the next few years? Is there a good time to invest, eg now, prior? Will finance be harder to ascertain post-Brexit? Will property value crumble? Thanks in advance. A senior ex-BoE economist who I happen to be married to suggests that anyone who claims to have a definitive perspective on the state of the economy in, say, five years is probably peddling a political line rather than a genuine economic forecast. The simple fact is that there are too many possible outcomes, with very different economic effects, to be definite about anything. A no-deal exit where the EU decides to abide by the letter of the treaty gives very different outcomes to a soft exit where we remain aligned to EU regulations and in the single market in all but name. (To be clear, in this post not making a statement about which is better; just pointing out they are very different). I realise that's not helpful but perhaps something to consider as you read other opinions.
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Brexit
Aug 29, 2018 17:25:57 GMT
Post by anthony40 on Aug 29, 2018 17:25:57 GMT
I'm sorry, ca i just put this out there? Did anyone else think that Theresa Mays dancing on the news last night was the most horrific thing was the most horrific thing I've seen all week? Definitely! This was definitely not her finest moment as PM. I wonder what she was thinking (if anything!)? I appreciate that it's all for the cameras however I couldn't help but think, on a personal level, is that the way she's dance at a daily party or wedding?
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