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Post by Deleted on May 20, 2020 16:28:52 GMT
From today's government press briefing led by culture secretary Oliver Dowden ...
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Post by SuperTrooper on May 20, 2020 19:21:23 GMT
Thanks for posting this information Xanderl, I've been avoiding the updates on TV and catching up online instead.
Interesting group of people, let's hope they can come up with some good ideas/strategies soon.
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Post by richey on May 20, 2020 20:24:14 GMT
If this is what we have to look forward to I'd rather not go
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Post by Deleted on May 20, 2020 20:33:20 GMT
There was a good feature on Front Row tonight about this, interviewing various people about the perilous state of various theatres, difficulties faced by those working in the creative industries, and what the future might look like www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m000j95dMy suspicion is the picture in the previous post is why many theatres are assuming they won't reopen until social distancing is significantly relaxed.
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Post by basdfg on May 20, 2020 20:35:20 GMT
There was a good feature on Front Row tonight about this, interviewing various people about the perilous state of various theatres, difficulties faced by those working in the creative industries, and what the future might look like www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m000j95dMy suspicion is the picture in the previous post is why many theatres are assuming they won't reopen until social distancing is significantly relaxed. Which might not be till 2021.
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Post by Deleted on May 20, 2020 21:46:28 GMT
Theatre in 2020 is over. The NT has cancelled performances and will be closed until September. I don’t think it’s unreasonable to assume others will follow. So at best we might get something in Q4 (maybe the odd long runner) but that’s assuming there aren’t signs of a second wave going into winter. But surely re-opening the west end in Q4 and hoping the customers come is going to be tough, as is then trying to survive Q1 when the west end is ordinarily quiet anyway.
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Post by basdfg on May 20, 2020 22:03:19 GMT
Theatre in 2020 is over. The NT has cancelled performances and will be closed until September. I don’t think it’s unreasonable to assume others will follow. So at best we might get something in Q4 (maybe the odd long runner) but that’s assuming there aren’t signs of a second wave going into winter. But surely re-opening the west end in Q4 and hoping the customers come is going to be tough, as is then trying to survive Q1 when the west end is ordinarily quiet anyway. Or revivals of plays - with basic costumes and sets so limited expenses and less to lose if it goes wrong.
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Post by Someone in a tree on May 21, 2020 5:24:21 GMT
Theatre in 2020 is over. The NT has cancelled performances and will be closed until September. I don’t think it’s unreasonable to assume others will follow. So at best we might get something in Q4 (maybe the odd long runner) but that’s assuming there aren’t signs of a second wave going into winter. But surely re-opening the west end in Q4 and hoping the customers come is going to be tough, as is then trying to survive Q1 when the west end is ordinarily quiet anyway. Or revivals of plays - with basic costumes and sets so limited expenses and less to lose if it goes wrong. That could be one of the positives of Covid. I would like it if theatre was a little less produced and it was more raw. More a show in a barn. Covid could teach us a lot in general. although I'm sure that's a topic for another thread.
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Post by zahidf on May 21, 2020 7:29:45 GMT
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Post by Someone in a tree on May 21, 2020 9:03:09 GMT
Something I don't understand - Arts Council funded theatres should be OK shouldn't they?The subsidy rolls in, refunds are made to punters, paid security secure the building and staff are furloughed. Or am I missing something?
I guess the question is when to reopen?
As you can maybe tell I don't work in fiance or the arts!
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Post by NeilVHughes on May 21, 2020 9:15:11 GMT
Main issue like in most businesses is servicing the debt.
It is likely that most Theatre have loans secured against their assets which is primarily the Theatre buildings.
If there is no, or limited debt maintenance many more Theatres will go into hibernation with very few employed to maintain the hibernation, all others furloughed for as long as it goes on and then potentially redundancy.
It is likely debt will impact most businesses and could trigger another banking crisis which I believe is the primary driver of the furlough and interest free business loans as there is a danger Covid-19 will make the banking crisis of 2008 appear a minor hiccup. We are a nation built on business and household debt and the house of cards is close to collapse if the unemployment figures rise and more companies become bankrupt.
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Post by n1david on May 21, 2020 9:15:56 GMT
There are a few things I can think of that impact on that:
- Most landlords aren't suspending or dropping rent. That probably isn't an issue if you're a West End operator that owns the freehold of your building, it does matter if you're a fringe operator renting a space commercially. - No income from drinks, snacks, programmes - this can amount to quite a lot - Furlough is due to end at the end of October and employees can't work when furloughed, so they can't start rehearsing a new show, so the theatre can't open November 1. Also, the Chancellor has said that employers will have to "contribute to the cost of the scheme" from August 1, so that will increase costs to the business - It's not clear to me how theatres engage actors and other creative staff, but I know a lot of self-employed people who run their own limited company and pay themselves through dividends - these people are getting no help at all from the various Government schemes.
I'm sure others can come along with reasons I haven't thought of (or correct some of my assumptions)
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Post by basdfg on May 21, 2020 9:19:05 GMT
Something I don't understand - Arts Council funded theatres should be OK shouldn't they?The subsidy rolls in, refunds are made to punters, paid security secure the building and staff are furloughed. Or am I missing something? I guess the question is when to reopen? As you can maybe tell I don't work in fiance or the arts! Subsidy's are not immune if some cuts need to be made.
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Post by basdfg on May 21, 2020 9:23:47 GMT
There are a few things I can think of that impact on that: - Most landlords aren't suspending or dropping rent. That probably isn't an issue if you're a West End operator that owns the freehold of your building, it does matter if you're a fringe operator renting a space commercially. - No income from drinks, snacks, programmes - this can amount to quite a lot - Furlough is due to end at the end of October and employees can't work when furloughed, so they can't start rehearsing a new show, so the theatre can't open November 1. Also, the Chancellor has said that employers will have to "contribute to the cost of the scheme" from August 1, so that will increase costs to the business - It's not clear to me how theatres engage actors and other creative staff, but I know a lot of self-employed people who run their own limited company and pay themselves through dividends - these people are getting no help at all from the various Government schemes. I'm sure others can come along with reasons I haven't thought of (or correct some of my assumptions) I think the change in August might allow workers to work while still being partly funded by the retention scheme.
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Post by daisy24601 on May 21, 2020 9:37:11 GMT
If this is what we have to look forward to I'd rather not go I was just looking at tickets for a show in Amsterdam, the theatre holds nearly 1000 but they're selling less than 100 tickets...
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Post by zahidf on May 21, 2020 9:38:55 GMT
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Post by theatreian on May 21, 2020 9:52:33 GMT
I was just thinking for shows already sold how can they know what the new policy will be for how many audience members there will be , ie how to space seats etc under social distancing. Until that is decided or there is no longer any social distancing required any current bookings will likely be subject to change.
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Post by talkingheads on May 21, 2020 10:03:01 GMT
I was just thinking for shows already sold how can they know what the new policy will be for how many audience members there will be , ie how to space seats etc under social distancing. Until that is decided or there is no longer any social distancing required any current bookings will likely be subject to change. I just can't get past the idea that social distancing measures are pointless in a theatre. Surely you still have to squeeze pass people to get to your space four seats away? Unless they stagger entry then everybody will mingle/walk through the foyer picking up the same germs anyway, not to mention the toilets. And people popping to the loo mid performance, going past people. It only takes a single person to give the virus to everybody and in the enclosed theatre space it seems to me it wouldn't matter if there were 100 people or 1000, that's the point - it's a shared space so the measures won't make any difference, or at least very little.
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Post by Deleted on May 21, 2020 10:14:30 GMT
I was just thinking for shows already sold how can they know what the new policy will be for how many audience members there will be , ie how to space seats etc under social distancing. Until that is decided or there is no longer any social distancing required any current bookings will likely be subject to change. I just can't get past the idea that social distancing measures are pointless in a theatre. Surely you still have to squeeze pass people to get to your space four seats away? Unless they stagger entry then everybody will mingle/walk through the foyer picking up the same germs anyway, not to mention the toilets. And people popping to the loo mid performance, going past people. It only takes a single person to give the virus to everybody and in the enclosed theatre space it seems to me it wouldn't matter if there were 100 people or 1000, that's the point - it's a shared space so the measures won't make any difference, or at least very little. Which is why several people in theatreland have said it won’t come back until social distancing is gone
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Post by crowblack on May 21, 2020 10:15:44 GMT
I grew up in the North-West of England and theatres, arts venues, bookshops, arts cinemas and all the rest were variously mothballed, closed, dark, bombed out and shut down. This was at a time when the population of my home city halved - many moving to London - and if you left your car outside a theatre or cinema chances are kids would have bricked in the windows by the time you got out. Slowly, they have come back. And the situation in London is very different - it's a white-collar, upper-middle-class city awash with money, and theatre, shows, music, cafes are what make London liveable-in. I can't see a few months or possibly a year or two of mothballing spelling the end of something the capital city has enjoyed - especially its most powerful, monied demographic - for hundreds of years.
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Post by londonpostie on May 21, 2020 10:17:57 GMT
The situation I find interesting - now that we apparently have an effective antibody test - is you can have a theatre full of people who can prove their immunity (accepting you can't get it a second time).
So you do that and reopen with a clear medical criteria set for ticket buyers - show me your test results. In London, thst's not a small percentage.
That, it would seem, provides an incentive for people under 50 to go, find the damn virus, isolate for 14-days and spend that time making theatre bookings. At the end of that - unless you're one of unfortunate 1/10k - all is well, and you can even hug a grandparent.
I must have missed something?
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Post by xanady on May 21, 2020 10:24:30 GMT
Friedman writing in a very right-wing rag telling Boris and Co to get their act together in the article is a seismic moment and the response on social media this morning paints a very grim and foreboding picture of just how precarious the theatre industry is right this minute.Friedman is highly-respected in the industry and needs to be listened to. Never mind setting up task forces and committees and God knows what.By the time the likes of ex-Arsenal footballer,Alex Scott have reported back on how to re-start leisure(!),it will be too late. With deep regret,I have now gone with refunds on a huge tranche of bookings as,God forbid,credit notes may well not be worth the paper they are printed on. If the Panto season doesn’t happen,then some regionals will be in dire straits.Who wants to see the Brum Hippodrome as a bingo hall? The logistics of operating even a small-scale theatre are incredible and the re-opening process by itself could take weeks or months even in a best case scenario. Possible issues for re-opening will be obvious things like social distancing in a very confined space as well as theatres ordering refreshments and merch(will deliveries get through?),the re-start of the ticket booking system with possibly only a tenth of seats occupiable,if staff or performers are taken ill will there be enough people to cover for health/safety reasons(eg ushers) or enough covers to step in,the complete collapse of the tourism industry,technical checks,will the ‘older’ audience members who may have underlying health problems feel safe going to the theatre,safe queuing for the loos( the Gielgud comes to mind right away),issues with the transport systems and on and on and on...until there is a working vaccine,I think we are snookered tbh. A survey of parents in my area says that between 60-65% of them will definitely not be sending their kids back to school in June and another 10-15% are undecided and this is education we’re talking about! What chance will theatre have? On furloughed or unemployed Joe Public’s list of priorities,booking theatre tickets will hardly be a priority.
Read this back to myself and it feels like a very negative rant. Apologies! BUT it is how I truly feel Let’s listen to Friedman before it is past the tipping point.We need a pro-active response not re-active and befuddled inertia.
Stay safe,everyone Best wishes to all you wonderful people on the board x
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Post by crowblack on May 21, 2020 10:26:54 GMT
That, it would seem, provides an incentive for people under 50 to go, find the damn virus, isolate for 14-days and spend that time making theatre bookings. At the end of that - unless you're one of unfortunate 1/10k - all is well, and you can even hug a grandparent. It would lead to people going out, measles party style, to get infected deliberately to get their passport to entertainment - an incentive to put your life at risk, and the lives of others. Given that theatre is generally centre/left-leaning and socially conscious, and that BAME and lower-income people have far worse outcomes from this illness than the white middle classes, I doubt that's something many theatres would want to push for.
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Post by NeilVHughes on May 21, 2020 10:28:22 GMT
The rush to become infected by the low risk groups is why the ‘immunity passport’ idea was put on the back burner.
There would be potentially thousands actively trying to become infected and no matter how well you isolated the risk of infecting someone in the high risk group would occur.
If it meant a chance of normality I would most probably risk it, having to show your ‘papers’ before entering a confined public place would be an interesting precedent.
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Post by londonpostie on May 21, 2020 10:30:29 GMT
crowblack Yes, I'm sure. The point is we will get the junction - perhaps not too far away - of a critical mass of the population being immune, and yet theatres closing.
My sense is, this form of herd immunity is what our dear Etonian friends are angling at - a market driven opening up of work and entertainment spaces at least partly driven by antibody test results.
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