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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 14:54:47 GMT
Post by londonpostie on Aug 28, 2019 14:54:47 GMT
What do you think was confidential. I thought it was in the papers every day? It was rejected by Parliament three times, how confidential was that?
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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 14:55:19 GMT
Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 14:55:19 GMT
How? International Court of Justice, which is as slow as you can get? Better to use trade to get back what you are owed, much more quickly and much more powerfully. That's the likely route if we refuse to pay. Even conservatives have said that we would probably end up paying more in the long run. Oh honestly. We get it, you're really into the EU - it can do no wrong. You are invested.
Some of us are not.
So you have no argument. I am British. I am European. I value both equally. Both are flawed, both are the better option (the breakup of the Union worries me equally as the break from the EU).
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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 15:02:41 GMT
Post by n1david on Aug 28, 2019 15:02:41 GMT
What do you think was confidential. I thought it was in the papers every day? It was rejected by Parliament three times, how confidential was that? You believe everything you read in the papers? I certainly don’t, whether I agree with their political perspective or not. Everyone came out of those negotiations spinning wildly, there’s no way for any of us to know with certainty what was said in the negotiations. Yes, it’s a fact that the deal was rejected three times. I don’t accept it’s a fact that Barnier threatened May or that May folded or what the internal dynamics of that negotiation were. What you’re reporting is what people with vested interests said what happened, whether they are politicians, SPADs or journalists. That’s a very different thing. How do you know that the EU hasn’t threatened legal action? I certainly don’t. Maybe they have. Only the people close to the negotiations know what actually happened. The rest of us are all on the outside, trying to work out what happens next. Given that Johnson’s trip to France and Germany last week was simultaneously a triumph and a disaster according to the papers, I try not to present what I’ve read or heard as a verifiable fact unless I can do so for myself.
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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 15:10:58 GMT
Post by londonpostie on Aug 28, 2019 15:10:58 GMT
I'm a little bemused by this sudden lurch into secret negotiations.
From Mrs May's red lines to Barnier's pre-conditions, everyone knew the state of play. Who do you think they had things to hide from? The people they were negotiating on behalf of?
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Post by n1david on Aug 28, 2019 15:20:36 GMT
They talked for weeks. They gave summaries of what was said. The summaries were written to service the respective audiences, be they in the UK or the EU. The daily statements would have been agreed between both parties to state an agreed view on progress made during that day.
Transcripts of the negotiations weren’t released. The whole picture of the negotiations, who played hardball, who demanded what, who failed to understand all the issues, that all stayed in the room. There will be hundreds of books published on the negotiations in decades to come, and many of them won’t agree on what exactly happened. What was published in the press were stories that people wanted to present.
If you really think that you got wholly independent, objective, accurate reports which properly reflected the nuances of negotiations involving hundreds of people, well...
This isn’t a remain/leave perspective. It’s about understanding what are facts and what are opinions being presented as facts. And there have been a darn sight too many of the latter over the last four years.
And with that, I have a show to go to tonight. And that’s a fact.
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Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 15:46:39 GMT
Goodness me, it's just terrible. A nation state not paying a non-contractual con job. There is a contract, it's called the Treaty of the European Union (and the TFEU as well for that matter, plus hundreds of other regulations). It may not be a contract with a £39 billion figure in it, but it is a contract containing legal obligations the UK is choosing to breach and terminate, and it must adhere to the consequences of that or it will be even more of a laughing stock in international law and diplomacy than it already is. This is not about the numbers in a withdrawal agreement, it's far more fundamental principles of international law at play that you can't just choose to ignore because you feel like it. Your tunnel vision is astounding.
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Post by kathryn on Aug 28, 2019 16:54:49 GMT
It’s just a really bad look to the rest of the world - the countries we are going to need to negotiate with next - if we publicly renege on something we already publicly agreed to in negotiations.
We will be treated very differently by people negotiating with us because we are not seen as stable or reliable. It’s a bit like how credit companies charge you more interest if they think you are a higher risk. It will cost us more to do business in the future because we have shown ourselves to be at risk of defaulting.
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Post by Phantom of London on Aug 28, 2019 17:34:01 GMT
An Eton Mess!!!
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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 17:37:33 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 17:37:33 GMT
They may not be too bothered about us, but they certainly want our money. ;-) Sorry am a bit behind now with this thread but what does the even mean? What money do they want?
A little further down thread you speak of portions of the £39 billion being 'goodwill', can you post a reference for this please? Would be grateful, I am committed to us paying what we have previously agreed to pay but see little reason for us to pay anything for 'goodwill'. The actions of our politicians have wiped out any residual hope of goodwill I would have thought
Sorry, missthelma, I missed this earlier. But basically it’s exactly as londonpostie has laid out. There are things all lawyers on all sides seem agreed that we owe. And the UK has committed to paying that. Then there are the things we haven’t really “signed on the dotted line for” and there’s some disagreement as to whether we’re actually liable for it. Johnson has said it will not be paid in the event of no deal - so we actually, finally have someone who understands how to negotiate effectively instead of caving into all of the EU’s demands and hoping they chuck us some morsels.
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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 17:45:23 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 17:45:23 GMT
What’s wrong with that if the smoothest exit they can deliver right now is No Deal, with plans in place to offset it? Though I was talking more about Johnson’s “we’re leaving, deal or no deal, by the given date” commitment. No Deal can, self-evidently, not be the “best possible” deal because it’s not a deal. The clue is in the name. And it’s all very well to repeat Johnson’s commitment but let’s remember that the public have never been invited to vote on that commitment. So to claim public support for that commitment is a bit odd considering they have never been asked for it. Sorry if I missed something or was unclear, but I never meant to claim wholehearted public support for Johnson’s approach. Only that he committed to taking us out of the EU by the given date and that he is doing this to stick by that commitment? Ergo, his government is doing as it promised? And the reason we haven’t voted on that commitment is we had a referendum ages ago. The result hasn’t been enacted yet. Why ask for an opinion again when the first one hasn’t been listened to?
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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 18:09:22 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 18:09:22 GMT
Then there are the things we haven’t really “signed on the dotted line for” and there’s some disagreement as to whether we’re actually liable for it. Johnson has said it will not be paid in the event of no deal - so we actually, finally have someone who understands how to negotiate effectively instead of caving into all of the EU’s demands and hoping they chuck us some morsels. As pointed out above, there aren't any such things. There may be a debate over exact quantum, but not over the obligations. Despite what a lot of Brexiteers seem to think, the EU owes us nothing - we are the ones breaking contract, we are the ones who have to pay the damages. Contract law 101, and it really isn't more complicated than that at its heart.
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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 19:02:48 GMT
Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 19:02:48 GMT
Then there are the things we haven’t really “signed on the dotted line for” and there’s some disagreement as to whether we’re actually liable for it. Johnson has said it will not be paid in the event of no deal - so we actually, finally have someone who understands how to negotiate effectively instead of caving into all of the EU’s demands and hoping they chuck us some morsels. As pointed out above, there aren't any such things. There may be a debate over exact quantum, but not over the obligations. Despite what a lot of Brexiteers seem to think, the EU owes us nothing - we are the ones breaking contract, we are the ones who have to pay the damages. Contract law 101, and it really isn't more complicated than that at its heart. Not sure if I’m allowed to link to the whole article, but this from a BBC report in July this year: The Institute for Government think tank says refusing to pay could lead to a legal challenge. It says: "The EU might seek redress through the International Court of Justice or the Permanent Court of Arbitration, both located in The Hague." But a House of Lords report into Brexit and the EU budget, published in 2017, stated: "While the legal advice we have received differed, the stronger argument suggests that the UK will not be strictly obliged, as a matter of law, to render any payments at all after leaving." Maybe that contact law’s not quite so watertight after all.
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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 19:15:41 GMT
Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 19:15:41 GMT
As pointed out above, there aren't any such things. There may be a debate over exact quantum, but not over the obligations. Despite what a lot of Brexiteers seem to think, the EU owes us nothing - we are the ones breaking contract, we are the ones who have to pay the damages. Contract law 101, and it really isn't more complicated than that at its heart. Not sure if I’m allowed to link to the whole article, but this from a BBC report in July this year: The Institute for Government think tank says refusing to pay could lead to a legal challenge. It says: "The EU might seek redress through the International Court of Justice or the Permanent Court of Arbitration, both located in The Hague." But a House of Lords report into Brexit and the EU budget, published in 2017, stated: " While the legal advice we have received differed, the stronger argument suggests that the UK will not be strictly obliged, as a matter of law, to render any payments at all after leaving."Maybe that contact law’s not quite so watertight after all. "While the legal advice we have received differed, the stronger argument suggests that the UK will not be strictly obliged, as a matter of law, to render any payments at all after leaving." In no way to me does that infer that actually we don't have to pay anything. It's about as valid as posting this quote from another BBC news article: It's all manipulation of the people and the BBC News team do a great job of regurgitating it out to people willing to believe anything they read.
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Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 19:33:28 GMT
Not sure if I’m allowed to link to the whole article, but this from a BBC report in July this year It's generally good to link, because (a) the linked site appreciates the traffic, (b) it means people here can read the full article if they want to, and (c) it removes any suspicion of selective editing.
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Post by dontdreamit on Aug 28, 2019 19:38:17 GMT
The very best thing about all the coverage today has been listening to the different songs that the xylophone man has been playing in the background. Some really inspired choices!
As you were...
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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 19:39:16 GMT
Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 19:39:16 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 19:43:52 GMT
The very best thing about all the coverage today has been listening to the different songs that the xylophone man has been playing in the background. Some really inspired choices! As you were...
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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 19:43:58 GMT
via mobile
Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 19:43:58 GMT
As pointed out above, there aren't any such things. There may be a debate over exact quantum, but not over the obligations. Despite what a lot of Brexiteers seem to think, the EU owes us nothing - we are the ones breaking contract, we are the ones who have to pay the damages. Contract law 101, and it really isn't more complicated than that at its heart. Not sure if I’m allowed to link to the whole article, but this from a BBC report in July this year: The Institute for Government think tank says refusing to pay could lead to a legal challenge. It says: "The EU might seek redress through the International Court of Justice or the Permanent Court of Arbitration, both located in The Hague." But a House of Lords report into Brexit and the EU budget, published in 2017, stated: "While the legal advice we have received differed, the stronger argument suggests that the UK will not be strictly obliged, as a matter of law, to render any payments at all after leaving." Maybe that contact law’s not quite so watertight after all. Oh it is - you can argue most things at least two ways, but the "stronger" argument is usually simply the one you prefer to deploy because it suits you. And in this case also quite possibly bolstered by how slow and useless the ICJ and PCA generally are. Doesn't change the underlying legal analysis though, or how ridiculous we will look in the international trade world if we fail to adhere to existing contractual obligations. Contrary to the Brexiteer line, the UK really is not that important to the global market, politically or economically - it's not 1880 anymore.
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Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 19:46:11 GMT
The very best thing about all the coverage today has been listening to the different songs that the xylophone man has been playing in the background. Some really inspired choices! As you were... Glockenspiel! Xylophones are wooden bars, glockenspiels are metal bars. Then there's vibraphones and marimbas......
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Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 20:03:03 GMT
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5,068 posts
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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 20:10:51 GMT
Post by Phantom of London on Aug 28, 2019 20:10:51 GMT
The very best thing about all the coverage today has been listening to the different songs that the xylophone man has been playing in the background. Some really inspired choices! As you were... Glockenspiel! Xylophones are wooden bars, glockenspiels are metal bars. Then there's vibraphones and marimbas...... Then castanets, whoops that is Spanish - better not go there, anything Euro.
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Post by Phantom of London on Aug 28, 2019 20:22:07 GMT
Only way Brexit could’ve worked, if after the referendum and that caused contagion spread through the union and other counties Brexited. They’ve stuck together now more resolutely and after seeing the pound nose dive to a record low, no Euro zone country is going to risk their own economy tanking, on our very own failed experiment. Project fear has proved to be project fact.
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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 21:11:58 GMT
Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 21:11:58 GMT
Not sure if I’m allowed to link to the whole article, but this from a BBC report in July this year It's generally good to link, because (a) the linked site appreciates the traffic, (b) it means people here can read the full article if they want to, and (c) it removes any suspicion of selective editing. Good to know, thanks - I work in digital so I know the SEO benefits of linking, just didn’t want to break any board rules! (Some do allow 3rd party links, some don’t.)
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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 21:20:46 GMT
Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 21:20:46 GMT
Not sure if I’m allowed to link to the whole article, but this from a BBC report in July this year: The Institute for Government think tank says refusing to pay could lead to a legal challenge. It says: "The EU might seek redress through the International Court of Justice or the Permanent Court of Arbitration, both located in The Hague." But a House of Lords report into Brexit and the EU budget, published in 2017, stated: " While the legal advice we have received differed, the stronger argument suggests that the UK will not be strictly obliged, as a matter of law, to render any payments at all after leaving."Maybe that contact law’s not quite so watertight after all. "While the legal advice we have received differed, the stronger argument suggests that the UK will not be strictly obliged, as a matter of law, to render any payments at all after leaving." In no way to me does that infer that actually we don't have to pay anything. It's about as valid as posting this quote from another BBC news article: It's all manipulation of the people and the BBC News team do a great job of regurgitating it out to people willing to believe anything they read. Good to see there are still people who think the Beeb are biased in favour of Brexit. I know ardent Brexiteers who believe the complete opposite. As someone who used to work for the BBC, I’d say it’s a sign they remain reasonably neutral! And if you’re going to question the validity of a BBC news report as a source (Brexit: Does the UK owe the EU £39bn? www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-48586677), I give up. There’s no point in people here continually pressing for sources if, when you provide one from a reputable outlet, you’re told it’s not believable enough. I mean, if I’d quoted The Canary, fair enough...
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Brexit
Aug 28, 2019 21:28:38 GMT
Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2019 21:28:38 GMT
Not sure if I’m allowed to link to the whole article, but this from a BBC report in July this year: The Institute for Government think tank says refusing to pay could lead to a legal challenge. It says: "The EU might seek redress through the International Court of Justice or the Permanent Court of Arbitration, both located in The Hague." But a House of Lords report into Brexit and the EU budget, published in 2017, stated: "While the legal advice we have received differed, the stronger argument suggests that the UK will not be strictly obliged, as a matter of law, to render any payments at all after leaving." Maybe that contact law’s not quite so watertight after all. Oh it is - you can argue most things at least two ways, but the "stronger" argument is usually simply the one you prefer to deploy because it suits you. And in this case also quite possibly bolstered by how slow and useless the ICJ and PCA generally are. Doesn't change the underlying legal analysis though, or how ridiculous we will look in the international trade world if we fail to adhere to existing contractual obligations. Contrary to the Brexiteer line, the UK really is not that important to the global market, politically or economically - it's not 1880 anymore. If it’s not clear that the legal analysis differs depending on which lawyer you talk to (regardless of who you agree with, it DOES differ), then I’m afraid I give up. Also - if the EU really believe they have a case, they should certainly make use of the afore-mentioned courts. Saying ‘oh they’re just not doing it because the process takes ages’ isn’t exactly a ringing endorsement of their faith in their case, is it? It’s the EU we’re talking about, the great lumbering behemoth. I don’t think a slow legal process will bother them much!
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